2024 Fantasy Football Thread

At 16% Brown, 8% moss, but my moss shares will drop as I’m not taking him anywhere near ADP anymore

I think it's likely to be close to a 50% split, but if someone is going to run away with the job, it's more likely to be Brown. Moss's skill set fits their scheme perfectly, though. I wanted to be in on both, which is how I ended up at 12% each.

But right now, I'm treating Brown as if his ADP is where Moss's is. I'll still take Mostert over Brown, but I'd take Brown over Zamir and Swift, so that's my line.

I got Moss at 108 yesterday, so I'll take that price.

Apparently Moss listed as starter on depth chart fwiw .

Tough to trust any depth charts right now, especially when multiple training camp reports are to the contrary. But even Moss is technically the starter right now, Brown could both still play more snaps in-game and simply be the listed starter as the season moves along.

This is also an interesting concept. Brown doesn't qualify since he didn't reach the 100+ touch threshold last season, but I think the theory can still be loosely applied.

Moss is clear 1A to start the season but Brown quickly overtakes him cause Moss just sucks is my take.

Looking like Auiyk to the Steelers is on. RIP Pickens value big up Debo

Is Aiyuk to Steelers real? I saw someone w 8k twitter followers saying something and someone with 100K, but I couldn’t find anyone I’ve heard of corroborating

I saw it on twitter too but no clue if it’s real .

I'll believe it when a real source breaks it. Giving up the capital necessary to get him then giving him a massive contract on top isn't really the Steelers style, though.

Underdog just tweeted that no trade is in place .

is this a regular thing where RB's are wildly unpredictable? or was last year more anomalous?

RB unpredictability is a regular thing. Injuries, TD variance, projectable volume not matching with talent or offensive environment, etc.

A lot of drafters prefer zero or hero RB strategies because of it.

My preferences is 2-3 anchors that will hopefully stay healthy, and the rest can be whatever.

One thing I haven't tried is handcuffing anytime I do draft a RB in the 1st or 2nd round.

Well this is a new start in bbm

I think it’s bad for RBs taken in the top 6-8 rounds, since you generally really need those guys to pay off for your team to succeed.

I think it’s fine to lock up backfields for cheaper guys where you expect them both to have standalone value. Zeke/Dowdle. Pollard/Spears. Moss/Brown.

by jimmymcgill8 P

Well this is a new start in bbm

Very nice. I’ve seen quite a bit 2/3 turn Davante. Haven’t seen Olave fall there much. Although, the day he left practice with a hip injury, he fell into the third round on DK. I had the 1.12 in one of those drafts and Olave made it all the way to 3.11. Gross.

The recs are joining . I just got Drake London at 3.3

Hot damn. Best ball summer is on fire!

Besides not being a fit in your current build. Are there any reasons you guys would fade someone that has fallen well past their ADP, or are you always going to scoop up the value?

I'll mostly scoop the value. The situations where I won't:

1. QBs - Especially the non rushing. It's been pain passing on Tua, Herbert, etc. 20+ spots past ADP, but if you don't have stacking partners or you've already locked up the position, it's a tough sell. At least Herbert has back stacking options, but Tua without Reek or Waddle seems like a capped ceiling.

2. Players falling on bad news like Kendre, QJ, etc. Those players have to fall a long way before I take them, but I've scooped some 17th and 18th round Kendre and QJ.

3. I've seen them regularly falling and think they will have a lower ADP price relatively soon and I don't think they've fallen far enough. Guys like Hopkins, Addison, etc. when news first broke.

The draft spot also matters. In round 1, a pick or 2 fall is good value. In round 2, a 3-4 pick fall is good value. In round 8, a 6-8 pick fall is good value. In round 14, a round+ fall is whatever, and I don't really view that as value unless I simply like the player in the first place.

Olave and Davante should both be early third rounders. Everybody else in the second has league winning upside but these guy's don't. You can put Aiyuk in the third round as well. I always thought these guy's were being drafted too high even in a flat tier.

I will be scooping up a falling AD Mitchel and Troy Franklin. Rookies have to earn their way up the depth chart. It's not surprising these two aren't there yet.

I don’t know if I agree with this. I understand their offenses aren’t as good as most of the players they’re going around. But these two likely project for more targets than any other second or third round WR.

Obviously a bit results oriented, but Davante has absolutely smashed the championship round going back to 2018.

And best ball league winning upside isn’t the same as redraft, imo.

Olave also has room for improvement to take another leap.

I’ve gotten some nice scoops on those two. Nice add in. Falling rookies, even in the later rounds, are still very attractive. Recs hate rookies. Pat and Erik did a fun pod the other day called week 1 brain. It covered a lot of this mindset.

Whats up fantasy people, hope you guys have been good. Looks like everyone has gone best ball crazy!

Finished my fantasy research - need some detailed opinions on the following players/situations and their value if possible please:

-Rhamondre - just no idea at all
-The 4 GB receivers - any great ADPs to be aware of
-M. Pittman - is the massive breakout / TD upswing coming
-Q. Johnson - I mean.....he's beyond free, so why not take a flier

Quite a structure here lmao

The TE is Gesicki
The 3rd RB is Ray Davis

Rhamondre.....I love the talent. The team may suck. The offensive line might be one of the worst. Antonio Gibson may get most of the passing down work. I worry about empty stats where he gets 20 runs for 60 yards and maybe a couple catches. In best ball I will take him a little because he has league winner in his range of outcomes. Maybe this team takes a Texans type of leap. I probably avoid him in redraft since I hate taking running backs on bad teams.

GB receivers..... It depends on what you are looking for. I like to swing for the fence so Christian Watson is my first choice. He is a freak talent who just needs to stay healthy to smash. It sounds like he may have figured things out with his soft tissue injuries like CMC did. Jayden Reed is the first guy to go in drafts. It's possible he continues to improve but more likely will have some TD regression. Doubs will see plenty of snaps and will put up solid but boring numbers. He has been getting a lot of hype in camp. Wicks will be rotated in as well. He's very good but who knows how many snaps he'll get. Lets not forget Bo Melton. He was solid last year when replacing injured guys. He is explosive and could be a very deep sleeper.

This is a long way of saying just take Jordan Love.

Pittman......I don't see the TD upswing coming. Richardson and JT are gonna be the redzone guys. Pittman doesn't seem to score on explosive plays. Downs and AD Mitchel will be demanding the ball as well. He's a pass for me this year.

Q Johnson....It's rare for a player to have that bad of a rookie season and then end up being good. Maybe he is another Davanta Adams. He's another guy I will get a little in best ball because who knows. The vibes so far aren't good. It sounds like Chark is playing ahead of him. My gut tells me that he may end up being ok but not great.