Questions about Variance and the Mental Game

Questions about Variance and the Mental Game

1) In a soft lineup, particularly live, what are pros and cons of always running it once?

Pro: If Villain loses and is mentally weak, they will tilt and try to "get even."

However, con: If they win, will they fold too much and "lock it up"? While this is still -EV, it is more conservative.

This is particularly a concern when Villain is tilting and on a weak draw. Will they be more likely to fold if they know you only run it once, knowing they're behind?

If you have a mental and bankroll edge, is it "worth it" to always run it once, or is it simply too dangerous for everyone?

2) Are there any PlayMoney/ rake free apps that allow both players to automatically split the pot based on their all-in equity? (Similar to PokerStar's buyout, but without the additional insurance rake). If you had to estimate, how would that affect the standard deviation in bb/100 hands if every all-in pot was split according to each's equity?

15 April 2024 at 04:48 AM
Reply...

26 Replies

i
a

I dont believe RIT is bad, since i use it often.
I just know RIO is higher EV because of rake, but im willing to accept it in exchange for less variance/better mindset.

I already explained everything.


RIO > RIT because it takes less time. Your EVbb/100 stays the same but you are hurting your hourly - not because of some extra rake fallacy, but because you are wasting extra time per hand when RIT.
This becomes even worse in spots where you are starting a table and a fish joins you HU. It's basically a race against time as every additional reg that joins is taking a huge slice out of your winrate and this will add up, especially if you play in games with low traffic.

Another spot where RIO is better is when a fish is deeper than you and you want to flip your way up to cover his stack.


Reply...