5nl: Full House facing 4x shove on river
PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 115.8 BB
SB: 103.2 BB
BB: 122 BB
UTG: 105.2 BB
Hero (MP): 118.8 BB
CO: 183.6 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♦ T♦
fold, Hero raises to 2.2 BB, CO calls 2.2 BB, fold, fold, fold
Flop: (5.8 BB, 2 players) 4♠ 4♣ J♣
Hero bets 2 BB, CO raises to 4 BB, Hero calls 2 BB
Turn: (13.8 BB, 2 players) 9♥
Hero checks, CO bets 8.8 BB, Hero calls 8.8 BB
River: (31.4 BB, 2 players) 4♦
Hero checks, CO bets 168.6 BB and is all-in
Only have 17 hands on villain in which they ran 18/12 so all we can say is that they are not a maniac
From my experience of villains in this pool these kind of monster overbets are pretty much always nutted. The thing is though what can he have?
There is 1 single combo of A4s out there and I guess 1 each of things like 54s, 64s and 43s (The player pool almost never raises flopped trips though).
That being said I have played my hand like Jx or an overpair and they're still making this bet so it seems like it can't be anything else.
3 Replies
Fold, for the reasons you have stated yourself.
He also has some 99, and a sliver of JJ.
JJ//99 beat you and I've seen nitty players flat QQ+.
Their range is definitely way weighted towards trips once they minclick flop.
Massive overbets rep less by design I don't think that's a reason to overcall especially when there's no obvious blocker for villain like 3 flush boards. Ah maybe but that's hard to reach river with.
Vs a fish minclick sure call down vs reasonable bets with bluffcatchers
I think it's a pretty easy fold.
