NL5 R&C Facing Big River Bluff
Hi everyone,
Hello, I’m new here, so I hope the way I’m posting and asking about this hand is okay.
I’m starting out at NL5 R6C, and this hand was played on GG Poker. I’d like to get some feedback on how it was played. Here’s what I’m thinking:
When a player bets 1.5x the pot on the river, it seems to me that they are no longer representing a flush but are likely holding a full house. However, the question is whether they are bluffing often enough to make a call worthwhile, or if it’s indeed a fold given the possibility of a full house.
In theory, if we assume they are not betting a flush, we need to consider which full house combinations they might have. Since we hold a jack, it seems unlikely they have hands like Jack-7 or Jack-5, so we’re mainly looking at full houses with 5s or 7s. Pocket Aces are probably also not a concern.
So, the call that initially seems like a clear fold might not be so straightforward, given that the number of hands that beat us at this bet size is relatively small. But I’m still wondering if the player bluffs often enough in this spot or if it’s indeed a fold. Could they be betting flushes against Jacks as well? By the way: Is the turn check fine as well?
What do you think?
7 Replies
Take with grain of salt from a fellow NL5 player: I think Pf should be call or fold, raising vs HJ with bottom of their range puts us in a tricky situation. Flop bet good would just size up to more like 0.5-0.6. Turn slow down I agree with, and river yeah just call and hope it’s a fish blasting off, but I could maybe also see it being a fold. To be fair, flush is very much possible and what I’d expect often, full house you have J blocker and anyways the hands that make them are seldom opening HJ + calling 3b pf so other than AJ it’s out of question. Well played!
I think opponent played this well, he was targeting better pairs and Ax, I would tag him as good reg.
If I knew he is a good reg I would call this pretty fast.
Preflop I would avoid 3B hands like these in high rake environment and calling is out of option.
Thank you guys a lot.
In future just so you can get better feedback I'd hide the result and don't put it in the title. You can be more sure no one is biased then based on the result. gl on your poker journey 😀
I would raise bigger pre (like 7-8x) to punish them more for b/calling and dare them to take a weaker range postflop where they overfold to cbets.
Rest of hand WP. We have a decent BC.
As DK said this is kind of an advanced play by OOP but even in a vacuum we still have to call a reasonable amount of range against only but the tightest of nitbergs.
I’d cbet the flop bigger and have a checking range here- this size is fine but you can construct to a bigger size with more checks for higher ev against pool.
The river call is fine but it’ll be close to 0EV- it does help that the formations are wide so it does lean it to slightly profitable.
Thank you guys, a lot.
