Flop probability
Is there a resource for flop probability, as opposed to a weighted subset that serves to aggregate the entire gametree?
potentially one that accounts for card removal from bunching (unlikely).
6 Replies
I mean you can do it yourself.
The number of flops without card removal is just:
52*51*50/3! = 132,600/(3*2*1) = 132,600/6 = 22,100
Different flop types have different multiplicity/weightings:
2c 2h 2s = 2c 2h 2d, there are 4 combinations of a 2-2-2 flop, or basically any trip flop.
2c 3h 4s = rainbow non paired board, 24 combinations of this
2c 3c 4c = monotone board = 4 combos (heart/club/spade/diamond)
2c 3c 4s = two toned non-paired board = 12 combos
2c, 2s, 3c = paired and two-toned board = 12 combos
2c 2s 3h = paired and rainbow board = 12 combos
You can simplify the 22,100 flops down to 1,755 strategically unique flop textures and each one has a different weight such that when multiplied by their weighting you'll get back to the 22,100 flops. The number of combos for each flop will be either 4, 12, or 24.
Perfect. Thank you
Shouldn't be too much work depending how strict I categorise. Just wanted a order of priority to add to the $EV for the drills
Is it the EV diff for RB across 1755 (already nabbed it if so [emoji3526])
EV is a function of ranges, position, stack depth, and many other constraints. So, no.
I see. I thought you meant just to have each flop in excel. I'll definitely take the spreadsheet either way.
