2024 ELECTION THREAD

2024 ELECTION THREAD

The next presidential race will be here soon! Please see current Bovada odds. Thoughts?


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14 July 2022 at 02:28 PM
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10362 Replies

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by sixfour P

Not really, Trump is beating anybody the Dems put up, and if Harris does not invoke the 25th immediately, then it is free election capital for Trump to indicate his (assumed) opponent is incapable of making the big but correct decisions

None of this


by housenuts P

Trump's odds haven't changed yet. Seems was priced in.

meh

if the Dems do this right and have an open convention and put forward their strongest ticket, the Donald / JD ticket will get curb stomped


by sixfour P

Not really, Trump is beating anybody the Dems put up, and if Harris does not invoke the 25th immediately, then it is free election capital for Trump to indicate his (assumed) opponent is incapable of making the big but correct decisions

who has trump attracted to vote for him that wasn't already voting for him in 2020?

trump's only real advantage this go round was that dems weren't super happy with bidens age.


by sixfour P

Not really, Trump is beating anybody the Dems put up, and if Harris does not invoke the 25th immediately, then it is free election capital for Trump to indicate his (assumed) opponent is incapable of making the big but correct decisions

lol

says the UK pundit

afraid you're way off w your analysis


Michelle Obama here we go



I'M WITH HER


by ligastar P

lol

says the UK pundit

afraid you're way off w your analysis

quickly checks Betfair

DJT still -200 to win
Harris -1000 to be the Dem nominee
Any alternative is clearly worse for the Dems

Am I missing something?


just endorsed harris


by sixfour P

quickly checks Betfair

DJT still -200 to win
Harris -1000 to be the Dem nominee
Any alternative is clearly worse for the Dems

Am I missing something?

Yes.
Time.


I can think of a poster or two who claimed they don't want Trump, but were forced to hope for him against Biden - they must be excited about this development!


by Montrealcorp P

Yes.
Time.

Please, elaborate


Also, I find it really weird that some people put so much stock in political betting markets, as if in isolation they prove something.


by Bobo Fett P

I can think of a poster or two who claimed they don't want Trump, but were forced to hope for him against Biden - they must be excited about this development!

yeah.. now they are going to be forced to vote for the 80 yr old over the 59 year old because reasons..


The calls by Dems for biden to resign immediately if he isn’t going to run for president is absolutely ****ing wild

Wtf is happening lol


by Bobo Fett P

Also, I find it really weird that some people put so much stock in political betting markets, as if in isolation they prove something.

Betting Biden would drop out was free money.


Exactly.


by Bobo Fett P

Also, I find it really weird that some people put so much stock in political betting markets, as if in isolation they prove something.

People were still betting on trump to win after he lost.


by Slighted P

just endorsed harris

yep

strategic mistake. the honor/loyalty Dem crap is how you got Hillary

Kamala is a better candidate than Biden, but wouldn't be part of the strongest ticket possible

the Veep pick plays an oversized role in a spot like this

lastly, Harris shouldn't debate Trump. Trump isn't a serious person when it comes to a traditional debate, so just set that aside


by sixfour P

Please, elaborate

The odds won’t stop moving from here to the election .
And bobo comment too .


by StoppedRainingMen P

The calls by Dems for biden to resign immediately if he isn’t going to run for president is absolutely ****ing wild

Wtf is happening lol

Common sense?


by ligastar P

yep

strategic mistake. the honor/loyalty Dem crap is how you got Hillary

Kamala is a better candidate than Biden, but wouldn't be part of the strongest ticket possible

the Veep pick plays an oversized role in a spot like this

lastly, Harris shouldn't debate Trump. Trump isn't a serious person when it comes to a traditional debate, so just set that aside

idk. i think this was the least chaotic decision. it will be interesting to see the law with regards to the delegates that are already pledged to Biden/Harris. there is some thought that without biden and with Harris running w/ endorsement that those delegates wouldn't be released but still obligated to Harris.. not sure on that though.


harris should absolutely debate Trump if it's a possibility. she's much better at it than most. on the other hand i doubt Trump will agree to debate her. no upside in it for him now.

the stuff about hillary is true though, i agree.


by ligastar P

yep

strategic mistake. the honor/loyalty Dem crap is how you got Hillary

Kamala is a better candidate than Biden, but wouldn't be part of the strongest ticket possible

the Veep pick plays an oversized role in a spot like this

lastly, Harris shouldn't debate Trump. Trump isn't a serious person when it comes to a traditional debate, so just set that aside

I’m not a fan of Harris as a nominee at all but the cleanest way towards avoiding an extended convention is biden firmly endorsing a nominee so his delegates can just got there

And biden can’t really endorse anyone but kamala

Going in this direction means harris can fixated on the VP choice (I’m guessing Shapiro at this point) rather than courting a fiasco


by Montrealcorp P

The odds won’t stop moving from here to the election .
And bobo comment too .

Trump was basically the same price to win before and after Biden dropping out. It was an inevitable thing that would happen at some point, the only question being how quickly the Dems acted to minimise the damage to their campaign. It was priced in. I mean I'm sorry for the hard left here (for which there are plenty) that they took way, way too long to do anything, but clarksonohnoanyway.gif


The fact that trump is now the oldest presidential candidate in American history is objectively hilarious


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