2024 Fantasy Football Thread

2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of January. Through 95 drafts, my exposures are below. The player order is based on current ADP. Some of these ADPs have been quite fluid over the last 3 months, with FAs and rookies moving the most. Most of my exposures are structurally driven, rather than player take driven. Especially at this point in the game, pre-draft.

But there are some players I simply couldn't avoid going heavy on, like McBride and Andrews in the 5th round. I'm actually quite heavy all of the top TEs, minus LaPorta and Kincaid. I also tried to make sure I had at least 1 TE by the end of round 8, with Ferguson being the last of the group.

Also took approaches like attacking Nabers and Odunze harder than MHJ, at their relative prices.

What do we like and not like?






Rookie season is also upon us. Redraft is still 3.5 months away from heating up, but there will be rookie drafts, dynasty startups, and best ball drafts leading up until then.

Good luck to all, and may injuries and variance be kind.

25 April 2024 at 04:46 PM
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by mongidig P

My first BBM

QB) AR, D Watson

RB) Breece, A Jones, B Rob, Gus Edwards, J Wright

WR) Waddle, Kupp, Cooper, Hopkins, AD Mitchel, D Robinson, Corley, Slayton, M Washington

TE) NJoku, Muth


I like it. I'm trying to get some Hill and/or Waddle combos with Watson as well.

I may have tried to add a 3rd QB with a higher floor to balance out the weeks when AR and Watson don't hit their upside.


QB - Lamar, Watson, Levis

RB - Zamir, Pollard, Brooks, Allgeier, Elijah, Pierce

WR - Hill, Waddle, Flowers, Dhop, Jeudy, Gabe, Franklin, Boyd

TE - Andrews, Theo, Wiley


Punted Te. Wonder what you guys think .

Qb: Dak, Kyler

Rb: Saquon, Etienne , Brian Robinson jr, Chandler , Pierce , Estime

Wr: Jefferson , Dj Moore , Flowers, Ridley , Thomas jr, Cooks, Lockett , Johnston

Te: Sinnott , Fant , Theo , Sanders


by Dgoat P

Punted Te. Wonder what you guys think .

Qb: Dak, Kyler

Rb: Saquon, Etienne , Brian Robinson jr, Chandler , Pierce , Estime

Wr: Jefferson , Dj Moore , Flowers, Ridley , Thomas jr, Cooks, Lockett , Johnston

Te: Sinnott , Fant , Theo , Sanders

Would've drafted Geno over a 4th TE

Also I think taking a QB2 in Kyler right after Dak without having anyone to stack him with is a mistake.


QB - Burrow, Baker, Watson

RB - Karama, Brooks, Javonte, Zeke, Wright, Gibson

WR - Chase, Waddle, Evans, Higgins, Godwin, Jeudy, Lazard, Toney

TE - Chig, Gesicki, Theo


by newguyhere P

I like it. I'm trying to get some Hill and/or Waddle combos with Watson as well.

I may have tried to add a 3rd QB with a higher floor to balance out the weeks when AR and Watson don't hit their upside.

I feel pretty good with AR's floor. I drafted him with visions of a QB1 upside. I think Watson is gonna have a bounce back year. I might have grabbed Levis if he made it back but he didn't. The back up QBs went pretty early. I didn't have any stacking partners with the QBs left in rounds 15 onward and needed to fill out the rest of my WR room.


by newguyhere P

QB - Burrow, Baker, Watson

RB - Karama, Brooks, Javonte, Zeke, Wright, Gibson

WR - Chase, Waddle, Evans, Higgins, Godwin, Jeudy, Lazard, Toney

TE - Chig, Gesicki, Theo

Interesting team.

I like your QB trio. This is how I like to structure the room if I don't spend an early pick on an elite QB.

Your RBs are solid.

Your WRs are very good.

TE's....Turble!! I would have snagged a guy around the Jeudy pick.


by Dgoat P

Punted Te. Wonder what you guys think .

Qb: Dak, Kyler

Rb: Saquon, Etienne , Brian Robinson jr, Chandler , Pierce , Estime

Wr: Jefferson , Dj Moore , Flowers, Ridley , Thomas jr, Cooks, Lockett , Johnston

Te: Sinnott , Fant , Theo , Sanders

I love the QBs. I don't love Kyler unstacked. A Dak with no CD stack is unique ish. Did one of Dak or Kyler fall significantly to prompt you to take this grouping?

RBs are very good although I don't like taking Saquon in the second. If he falls to the third maybe.

WRs are very deep. Take a TE where you took Lockett.

TEs....Not the worst room I've seen today. I would stop at 3 TE and just hope for the best.


by mongidig P

I love the QBs. I don't love Kyler unstacked. A Dak with no CD stack is unique ish. Did one of Dak or Kyler fall significantly to prompt you to take this grouping?

RBs are very good although I don't like taking Saquon in the second. If he falls to the third maybe.

WRs are very deep. Take a TE where you took Lockett.

TEs....Not the worst room I've seen today. I would stop at 3 TE and just hope for the best.

No qbs dropped I just like that pairing and I’ve never seen saquon in the 3rd. Prolly should have taken a te over Lockett but he had dropped quite a bit .


I disagree with everyone saying stop at 3 te. On dk when you miss on te and have to go late, I really like going 4 late, I think there’s been some analysis done and it was found that 4 late can be plus ev

That said, I prioritize elite te, so rarely run into it

Obv you cannot do 4te on UD given roster size


by jimmymcgill8 P

I disagree with everyone saying stop at 3 te. On dk when you miss on te and have to go late, I really like going 4 late, I think there’s been some analysis done and it was found that 4 late can be plus ev

That said, I prioritize elite te, so rarely run into it

Obv you cannot do 4te on UD given roster size

I usually have 1-2 good tight ends but wrs were dropping left and right that’s why I kept taking them lol .

I def agree that 4 te is the way to go when you punt te .


by Dgoat P

No qbs dropped I just like that pairing and I’ve never seen saquon in the 3rd. Prolly should have taken a te over Lockett but he had dropped quite a bit .

Lockett seems to drop in most of my drafts. He could be a bargain this year in an offense that should run significantly more plays.

I have picked Saquon twice both times two or three picks into the third. I would much prefer to grab a WR in the second and grab a Kyren or Henry in the third.


by jimmymcgill8 P

I disagree with everyone saying stop at 3 te. On dk when you miss on te and have to go late, I really like going 4 late, I think there’s been some analysis done and it was found that 4 late can be plus ev

That said, I prioritize elite te, so rarely run into it

Obv you cannot do 4te on UD given roster size

I suppose on DK it's fine but I don't think it's a great idea to wait on late TE's this year. In his particular roster he was good at all other positions so might as well throw the dart on the 4th. Unless something crazy happens this year I don't see the 4 TE build advancing or winning big at a high frequency. Last year would have been a great year to do it.


I've only done one BBM so far but it seems like these guy's are much more sharp than those in the little snickerdoodles I was doing before this. There is a lot more focus on good team constructions. I think I'll just do maybe ten or so before training camp and then go to town in early August when the casuals start drafting.


What am I missing with Austin Ekeler on UD? I get that it's half PPR. I get that he had a terrible season last year. Why is he going so late?

He had an early season high ankle sprain that he played through that slowed him down. He had an awful line. The new regime wants bigger backs who can withstand more carries. It was a business and team philosophy decision to let him go not because they think Austin is washed. Ekeler seems to be in very good spirits and highly motivated. He seems to be back in the same situation he was in when he shared touches with Gordon. He should be more rested this year.

Washington does have a bad offensive line. He is playing with a running QB so that could cut into his catches. He is getting older.

I'm still not getting it.


Is there any data out there regarding the profitability of drafting at certain times of the year? I know big tournaments have been won by guy's drafting in June. Big tournaments have been one by guy's drafting in August. I suppose something that can't be measured is how drafting early and often allows you to improve as a drafter and have a better feel for things come August.

Also, does maxing out a tournament significantly improve your odds? I know tournaments have been one with just a few entries.


Drafting later is better for ev bc of injuries and depth chart certainty


by jimmymcgill8 P

Drafting later is better for ev bc of injuries and depth chart certainty

There’s guys you can get much later if you draft earlier though . It’s definitely not an exact science .


Drafted my first one on DK in a long time… wow it’s a different world than UD

Wanted to go 3qb and 3te but got sniped on all my late guys

Qb - Allen, Nix

Rb - Warren, Javonte, C Brown, Charb, Chandler, R Davis, Estime

Wr - Puka, London, Evans, Rice, Worthy, Shakir, Corley, Franklin, Dortch

Te - Pitts, Juwan


by Dgoat P

There’s guys you can get much later if you draft earlier though . It’s definitely not an exact science .

There’s also a lot of 0s in earlier drafts and the biggest driver of ev is having active players

There are plenty of reasons to draft earlier, but there is more ev in drafting later on avg


by mongidig P

I suppose on DK it's fine but I don't think it's a great idea to wait on late TE's this year.


Don't think it can ever be a bad idea to wait on TE.

These are the top 10 WRs, RBs, and TEs by fantasy ranks from the last 2 years along with their ADP.

It clearly shows the likelihood of drafting a top 10 TE past round 7 is much greater than doing so at RB or WR.




by mongidig P

I've only done one BBM so far but it seems like these guy's are much more sharp than those in the little snickerdoodles I was doing before this. There is a lot more focus on good team constructions. I think I'll just do maybe ten or so before training camp and then go to town in early August when the casuals start drafting.

I think it varies a lot by room. You might have just landed in a sharper room for your first. Either way, the rooms should get softer heading into August.

Best ball summer is about to heat up. Training camps will be beginning soon and the ADPs will be reacting quickly.

by mongidig P

What am I missing with Austin Ekeler on UD? I get that it's half PPR. I get that he had a terrible season last year. Why is he going so late?

He had an early season high ankle sprain that he played through that slowed him down. He had an awful line. The new regime wants bigger backs who can withstand more carries. It was a business and team philosophy decision to let him go not because they think Austin is washed. Ekeler seems to be in very

I don't get it either. I don't think he's a smash by any means, but I've been drafting a lot him recently, especially since he keeps falling into the 12th. The Chargers were a mess last season.

by mongidig P

Is there any data out there regarding the profitability of drafting at certain times of the year? I know big tournaments have been won by guy's drafting in June. Big tournaments have been one by guy's drafting in August. I suppose something that can't be measured is how drafting early and often allows you to improve as a drafter and have a better feel for things come August.

Also, does maxing out a tournament significantly improve your odds

I think it's best to get in reps in the timeboxed contests like Puppys, Mini Schnauzers, etc. and then draft BBM in August. I think the only reason to draft BBM prior to August is if you don't think you can draft as many teams as you want within only August. I.e., trying to max it out would be tough starting in August unless you were firing a lot of slows.

I don't think maxing any single tournament is as important as total volume for the full best ball slate. I generally aim to fire as many bullets as equal to the min cash for the finals, but that's just my bankroll baseline.

With that said, if you think certain ADPs are inefficient, there is value in firing as many contests as you can during that time period if you expect the ADPs to become more efficient.


by jimmymcgill8 P

Drafted my first one on DK in a long time… wow it’s a different world than UD

Wanted to go 3qb and 3te but got sniped on all my late guys

Qb - Allen, Nix

Rb - Warren, Javonte, C Brown, Charb, Chandler, R Davis, Estime

Wr - Puka, London, Evans, Rice, Worthy, Shakir, Corley, Franklin, Dortch

Te - Pitts, Juwan

That's a fun team. Josh/Nix should be fine. Pitts/Juwan might be thin, but it can still work. Damn snipers.

It definitely feels weird going from UD to DK haha.


by jimmymcgill8 P

There’s also a lot of 0s in earlier drafts and the biggest driver of ev is having active players

There are plenty of reasons to draft earlier, but there is more ev in drafting later on avg

This is one of the main reasons I prefer the timeboxed contests during this time period.


by tarheels2222 P

That's a fun team. Josh/Nix should be fine. Pitts/Juwan might be thin, but it can still work. Damn snipers.

It definitely feels weird going from UD to DK haha.

I read that nix might not start this year . I can’t see that being true though .


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