2024 Fantasy Football Thread

2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of January. Through 95 drafts, my exposures are below. The player order is based on current ADP. Some of these ADPs have been quite fluid over the last 3 months, with FAs and rookies moving the most. Most of my exposures are structurally driven, rather than player take driven. Especially at this point in the game, pre-draft.

But there are some players I simply couldn't avoid going heavy on, like McBride and Andrews in the 5th round. I'm actually quite heavy all of the top TEs, minus LaPorta and Kincaid. I also tried to make sure I had at least 1 TE by the end of round 8, with Ferguson being the last of the group.

Also took approaches like attacking Nabers and Odunze harder than MHJ, at their relative prices.

What do we like and not like?






Rookie season is also upon us. Redraft is still 3.5 months away from heating up, but there will be rookie drafts, dynasty startups, and best ball drafts leading up until then.

Good luck to all, and may injuries and variance be kind.

25 April 2024 at 04:46 PM
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3753 Replies

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I went RB heavy early on in this one. I like my first 3 WRs but it does leave me relying more on my rookies to hit.

Would have liked Ja'Tavion as a TE3 for the TB/CAR correlation, but he got sniped so I settled on Sanders even though I don't think I needed 6 RBs.

1.09

QB - Purdy, Baker, Watson

RB - ETN, Jacobs, Mixon, Chubb, Shipley, Sanders

WR - AJB, Deebo, Godwin, BTJ, Mooney, Quentin, McMillan, Franklin, Malik

TE - Njoku, Muth


by tarheels2222 P

Why does Lloyd keep free falling? He pulled his hamstring almost 2 weeks ago.

Hit mid to late round 16 in both Flocks I just did. I took him at 190.

I’m not sure what to do with him. I take him if it’s very late, but I’m trying to reduce my % of shares (he’s still one of my highest owned players). If he wasn’t really high owned by me already I’d probably take more of him at the discount

I think there’s some stuff around fumbling a lot in practice but I only heard that, didn’t read it anywhere


by Rev9 P

Anybody got intell on Mack hollins ? Could be a nice target in best ball for the bills ?

He's a good blocker.


by tarheels2222 P

Why does Lloyd keep free falling? He pulled his hamstring almost 2 weeks ago.

Hit mid to late round 16 in both Flocks I just did. I took him at 190.

I think they really like Emanuel Wilson. I heard a rumor that they may put Lloyd on IR. I can't remember exactly the circumstance but it has to do with not wanting to put one or the other on the practice squad and potentially lose them.


How do you guys navigate week 11, 12 and 14 byes? Especially with regard to WR, although RB falls under this category as well.

Just did a FLOCK from the 1.11 and late in the draft every WR I would have taken over the last 2 I ended up taking had an 11, 12 or 14 bye week.

Maybe I should be taking high end WRs earlier in the draft without those bye weeks, so later on I can draft the lower end WRs I like?



by jimmymcgill8 P

I’m not sure what to do with him. I take him if it’s very late, but I’m trying to reduce my % of shares (he’s still one of my highest owned players). If he wasn’t really high owned by me already I’d probably take more of him at the discount

I think there’s some stuff around fumbling a lot in practice but I only heard that, didn’t read it anywhere

Yeah, once the injury happened, I planned to lower exposure. It was nothing crazy at around 11%. But now that I’m making decisions of Lloyd vs Estime/Roschon/Kendre/Tank, etc., it’s really hard to not keep taking him. Or if I have Love/other Packers/Vikings. Up to 13% now.

I still think he’s a great end of season play.


by EddyB66 P

Any gullotine leagues anywhere?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk


I’m running a $300 one that has 3 spots available. I’ve been in your $300 league for a bunch of years, so I assume you know I’m solid.


by CowboyCold P

How do you guys navigate week 11, 12 and 14 byes? Especially with regard to WR, although RB falls under this category as well.

Just did a FLOCK from the 1.11 and late in the draft every WR I would have taken over the last 2 I ended up taking had an 11, 12 or 14 bye week.

Maybe I should be taking high end WRs earlier in the draft without those bye weeks, so later on I can draft the lower end WRs I like?


You're fine.

i usually draft 8-9 WRs

I dont' start sweating bye weeks unless I get 4 WRs with the same bye


by CowboyCold P

How do you guys navigate week 11, 12 and 14 byes? Especially with regard to WR, although RB falls under this category as well.

Just did a FLOCK from the 1.11 and late in the draft every WR I would have taken over the last 2 I ended up taking had an 11, 12 or 14 bye week.

Maybe I should be taking high end WRs earlier in the draft without those bye weeks, so later on I can draft the lower end WRs I like?


I think you could have added one more of each of those byes. For WR, since I’m usually drafting 7-8, I try not to take more than 3 players with the same bye. For RB, since I’m usually drafting 5-7, I try not to take more than 2 players with the same bye. But sometimes, it’s inevitable lol. I generally don’t want to punt what I believe is a better player just because of bye concerns.

Draft capital also matters. Having later round picks with same byes isn’t as detrimental as earlier players. I run into issues with w6 since I like all of their early round picks.


by PairPressure P

You are correct - Stacks are grabbing the QB along with their WR/TE/RB. Although I guess you can stack a WR/TE/RB combo if you miss out on the QB.

As far as variance stacking players from a high scoring team can be a winning strategy but one bad week, injuries or a bad match up during fantasy playoffs can wreck the whole thing.

For example: The Lions this year is projected to be a high scoring team but week 17 or championship week, they’re p

.

thanks! yeah, this is really good advice. (afaik lol)

but I didn't think to look at week 17(championship) match ups. I'll def take a look at that, and probably weight it around 5-10%... so basically if I'm flipping between two guys, their week 17 match up would be the tie breaker


Thanks guys. That makes a lot of sense.


I’m getting a bit worried about my 4%,Breece. I think I’m going to actively try to get to 8%+

I’m higher than this group on JJ, but I may move Breece over JJ and Amon Ra for the rest of my bbms just to get some exposure


by jimmymcgill8 P

I’m getting a bit worried about my 4%,Breece. I think I’m going to actively try to get to 8%+

I’m higher than this group on JJ, but I may move Breece over JJ and Amon Ra for the rest of my bbms just to get some exposure

I've had Breece over Bijan all year. I think he could be the number one over all pick going into next year. He's a great talent who is gonna catch a ton of balls. Rodgers has always been good for RB's. The offensive line should be significantly upgraded. The Jets are gonna have a great D which should create scoring opportunities. I'm only at 8% so I'll be pushing him up as well.

The guy I'm worried about is Tyreek. I only have 4.8%. I never get the number 3 pick. It's weird. I have 12% CMC and Lamb. I'll start mixing in some Tyreek.


15% Bijan
4% Breece

At this point if I have a top 7 pick the only players I'm drafting over Bijan is Lamb and Chase.

I'll draft more Breece if I can get Bijan up 18%-20%


Do you guy's feel withdrawals after draft season is over? This is the first year I've done mass drafting. Last year was year one for me and I only did 42 draft. Maybe you're over it and ready to move on to other things. Do any of you play poker during time?


by mongidig P

Do you guy's feel withdrawals after draft season is over? This is the first year I've done mass drafting. Last year was year one for me and I only did 42 draft. Maybe you're over it and ready to move on to other things. Do any of you play poker during time?


I'll switch over to DFS


JJ is going to be my highest drafted first round player lol. Only 11%, but I’m simply not taking ARSB, Breece or Bijan over him.

I’m still pretty flat, and wish I could get more Breece and Bijan, but I don’t ever take them over the receivers. I miss early in draft season when they would fall to the late first. I’ve seen at least 1, sometimes both, go in the top 5 more often than not lately.


by mongidig P

Do you guy's feel withdrawals after draft season is over? This is the first year I've done mass drafting. Last year was year one for me and I only did 42 draft. Maybe you're over it and ready to move on to other things. Do any of you play poker during time?

I’m looking forward to a much needed break. I cannot wait for my slows to be done. Sub 80 now, so the end is near.

I’ll probably grind some poker, but my managed leagues will give me my in-season fix. I have no interest in DFS. Too much time needed on a weekly basis to actually be +ev. The thing I like most about best ball is drafting the same slate for 4 months.


by newguyhere P

You're fine.

i usually draft 8-9 WRs

I dont' start sweating bye weeks unless I get 4 WRs with the same bye

If you have 8 WRs having 4 WRs with the same bye week could get you trouble especially with injuries for example (and they will happen). I’d go 3 WRs with the same bye if 8 rostered WRs and 4 if 9 rostered WRs. I always like 5 WRs minimum going into a week if I can (just my preference).

Week 12 is a tough bye. Especially if you have an any 3 of Wilson, London, Olave, Higgins, Kirk WR combo with your first 7 - 9 rounds. (DK best ball).

Kind of handcuffs you if you want to pick up shakur, Samuel, Lazard, Gabe Davis, shaheed, or The 3rd WR for the falcons (forget his name) in the later rounds for example.

Also stacking QBs to match your WRs puts you in a pickle.


Worrying about byes and injuries is a floor mindset. Sure, it could give you a better chance to advance, but we are trying to build the nuts for w17.

I’m still conscientious of byes and try to balance, but I also won’t make a bad pick to avoid bye week overlap.

And I never think about potential injuries. Plus, an injury that hurts one team can help another team.

Roughly 85% of our teams are expected to be dead, either way.


by tarheels2222 P

I have no interest in DFS. Too much time needed on a weekly basis to actually be +ev.

I stick to the .05 and .25 contests on FD if I plan on doing 100 lineups, and I might mix in a few of their $3 or $5 ones as well. Just something to sweat on Sundays.

For the primetime single game contests I'll just play 2 to 3 of their $7/$9 contests. They're pretty simple, although there are certainly times when someone wins by playing a kicker in the MVP slot or playing a RB3 who scores a garbage time TD, and you wish you had played more entries.


I disagree that it’s a floor mindset. That’s a little hyperbolic. In bestball you have to go for it since it’s so top heavy, however being balanced within reason is usually a good thing. Some builds can be all or nothing with regards to bye weeks but it could backfire if a major injury or multiple injuries happen (see Cincy stack last year) is all I’m saying.

Then again I usually play best ball SNGs mostly rather than those bigger tournaments so maybe I’m wrong when it comes to bigger tournaments.


by Rev9 P

Anybody got intell on Mack hollins ? Could be a nice target in best ball for the bills ?

He's getting good noise out of camp and wouldn't surprise me if he even slightly out snaps Coleman the 1st couple of weeks but they're going to give Coleman every opportunity to take the job.


by PairPressure P

I disagree that it’s a floor mindset. That’s a little hyperbolic. In bestball you have to go for it since it’s so top heavy, however being balanced within reason is usually a good thing. Some builds can be all or nothing with regards to bye weeks but it could backfire if a major injury or multiple injuries happen (see Cincy stack last year) is all I’m saying.

Then again I usually play best ball SNGs mostly rather than those bigger tourname

SNGs are definitely a different strategy, since you’re only trying to beat your draft room on cumulative scoring.

For the big tournaments, you’re mostly trying to build the nuts in w17 for the team(s) that make it.

Of course, avoiding injuries is ideal, but they’re unpredictable.

I’m not advocating for taking zeros, but I also don’t care about min cashing in $3-$5 contests. I want my teams that make it through to have the highest upside possible.


by 5 south P

He's getting good noise out of camp and wouldn't surprise me if he even slightly out snaps Coleman the 1st couple of weeks but they're going to give Coleman every opportunity to take the job.

Coleman’s snap splits in preseason have been bullish. And Josh seems to love the guy.

On paper, he seems like a bad bet. But I’m really liking his vibes so far, plus the Bills not having much talent at the position.

Mack is who he is.


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