2024 Fantasy Football Thread

I'm CMC over CD like 90% of the time, but I'll change it up occasionally. I already had one CMC team in this contest so decided to take CD on this one with it being a 4 max entry. I want to be around 8% on both.

There are some hardcore zero RB drafters completely fading CMC, which I think is dumb, especially when volume drafting. But to each their own.

I don’t hate the pick but I’m the type not to diversify lol .

I'm really low on CMC (3% currently), and he doesn't even crack my top 5.

That said, I still know better than to completely fade him (or any of the top guys), and could see myself ending up with around 5%

So for the most part you don’t take him or you just haven’t had the opportunity ?

There wasn’t too much chance to stack or anything here.

Qb : Dak , Goff

Rb : Breece , Etienne , Spears , Brian Robinson jr, Tracy , Estime

Wr: Adams, Kupp, Godwin , Coleman , Johnston , Wandale , Bateman , Tolbert , Elijah Moore, Hyatt

Te: Kincaid , Muth

As a giants fan I feel like I have way too many Giants lol

I get the age and total career touch concerns. They're legitimate, but he's also still the highest upside fantasy player, imo.

One thing I feel like zero RB drafters ignore is that while WRs get injured at lower rates than RBs, WR injury impact can be affected by both injury to the player or the QB. Just look at Chase with Browning last season. Whereas if Purdy gets injured, CMC is likely to still be nearly the same player for fantasy purposes, and possibly leaned on even more by the 49ers.

With that said, I'm willing to build all different types of teams due to the variance of the game.

Haha, I think the Giants have a decent chance to exceed expectations.

But I do think you should pass on non rushing QBs when you don't have any stacking partners previously drafted. It might feel bad passing on Dak with his upside, but if you make the finals with this team, there will be teams with Dak and Goff stacked with their skill positions. Meaning you need your top skill guys to outscore Dak and/or Goff's top skill guys while also having Dak and/or Goff outscore the QBs of your top scoring skill players.

Haha, the situations where I have the 1.02 or 1.03 and CMC falls help even out the situations where I take CeeDee at 1.01. The furthest I've seen CMC fall is 1.04.

I've only had 2 chances so far and took him both times, but there reasons to be under the field imo.

1. He's 28 which is when most RBs start to regress. Since 2010, there's only been 2 RBs age 28 or older to finish as RB1 or RB2. Adrian Peterson and Raheem Mostert.

2. Last season was the first time he's played a full season since 2019. The injury risk is a concern. Especially for an aging player.

3. Since 2001 a RB that led the league in touches has never gone on to finish as RB1 the following season. There have been 3 that finished as RB2, and they were all under the age of 24.

4. The average positional finish for a player with the highest ranked ADP is 20 over the last 10 years. Two players have finished top 2; Gurley as RB1 in 2018 and AP as RB2 in 2015.

Reason(s) to play CMC

1. He's CMC

I get the injury concerns but since he’s basically a slot wr playing rb his floor is soo high . Also I’m on dk where that 1 point ppr really makes a difference .

2 is incorrect… he’s played all the games the last 2 seasons. He was injured in 2020 and 2021

correct

If we include 2022 + 2023, he's played in 39 straight games, including playoffs, and not counting the missed game in week 18 of last season, which wasn't for injury reasons.

And prior to the 2020 and 2021 injury seasons, he didn't miss a game for his first 3 seasons. And while he only played 10 games total in those 2 seasons, my read is that he would have played in more if the Panthers weren't complete ****.

He also missed just 1 game out of 39 in college for injury.

But drafters are still bitter about 2020 and 2021, so they just throw out the rest.

The age, total touches, best ball market of being WR heavy early, etc. are all valid reasons, but I think some people are just being stubborn. CMC hasn't actually shown any sign of decline.

I think the risk stuff on cmc is way overblown. Yeah risk exists, but it’s football that’s the case w literally every player.

I take CMC at 1 and whenever he falls but only have 7% in 106 UD drafts due to pick position luck

I think the real argument for not taking CMC is structural not player risk. An argument can be made that CD + Achane/Saquon is more valuable than CMC + DK/Nabers/Devonta etc…or that being able to go 3 WRs in a row allows you to more easily take Lamar/andrews, Mahomes/pacheco, or whatever wr deviation one may take on the 4/5 turn. (This is all UD based as I’m guessing the wr avalanche still isn’t that bad on dk)

I don’t really buy that, but I think it’s more convincing than the cmc risk argument

Lamb has more risk to me . He may hold out .

Think there’s less than 1% that the Cowboys don’t pay him

Until he gets paid though there is some risk .

Got my Penix/Falcons stack. I'll probably do one more with one of the stud QBs and then call it a day with Penix.

QB - Tua, Geno, Penix

RB - Bijan, Swift, Brooks, Ford, Wright, Guerendo

WR - Waddle, DK, Cooper, Odunze, Williams, Luke, Rondale, Hyatt

TE - Pitts, Hock, Jonnu

That's fun. Drafting Penix is definitely more viable on DK than UD.

I got some exposure in the superflex Puppy contest.

Hopefully you'll get a spot to draft London.

Yeah I think I'd need to be in that 9-12 spot to have the best shot

Thinking

1. Garrett / Breece / AJB
2. London
3. WR
4. QB - Allen if I have Garrett or Breece / Hurts if I got AJB
5. WR
6. Pitts
7. RB/WR depending on if I took Breece

ez game?

ez game. maybe you'll get lucky and Bijan will fall and you can stack Bijan/London.

Maybe I have seen him drop to 10 one time.

Got a pretty unique start in my first pit bull

Qb - Allen, Tua

Rb - Monty, Mostert, Swift, Chubb, Davis, Wright

Wr - Reek, Deebo, Evans, Btjr, Mwill, Pearsall, Slayton, M Washington

Te - Kincaid, Woods

This team is damn near perfect .