2024 Fantasy Football Thread
Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of January. Through 95 drafts, my exposures are below. The player order is based on current ADP. Some of these ADPs have been quite fluid over the last 3 months, with FAs and rookies moving the most. Most of my exposures are structurally driven, rather than player take driven. Especially at this point in the game, pre-draft.
But there are some players I simply couldn't avoid going heavy on, like McBride and Andrews in the 5th round. I'm actually quite heavy all of the top TEs, minus LaPorta and Kincaid. I also tried to make sure I had at least 1 TE by the end of round 8, with Ferguson being the last of the group.
Also took approaches like attacking Nabers and Odunze harder than MHJ, at their relative prices.
What do we like and not like?
Rookie season is also upon us. Redraft is still 3.5 months away from heating up, but there will be rookie drafts, dynasty startups, and best ball drafts leading up until then.
Good luck to all, and may injuries and variance be kind.
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Parham could still contribute to that build. That's a good team.
The fast Puppy streets are popping right now.
Kupp/Diggs at the 3/4 turn. Legette/Chandler at the 13/14 turn.
Stroud, Geno
Brooks, Conner, Spears, Charb, Chandler, Foreman
Wilson, Nico, Diggs, Kupp, Lockett, Gabe, Legette
Kittle, Jonnu, Juwan
Would have liked to have found room for a 3rd QB, but Stroud and Geno can carry it.
Does anyone have a good case for Roschon? Some people are really into him, and I just don't get it, especially after the Bears brought in Swift.
These comments didn't help either, especially if Roschon is assumed to be a 3rd down/passing down back.
I just keep clicking Khalil Herbert.
Last fast Puppy before bed. Spent last 4 picks building out Denver.
Goff, Watson, Nix
Achane, Mixon, Corum, Ekeler, Wright, Estime
ARSB, Kupp, Amari, Watson, Jamo, Franklin, Mims
Andrews, Bowers
AR, Levis
Kyren, Singletary, Javonte, Lloyd, Pierce, Bigsby
MHJ, DK, Pittman, Ridley, Addison, Adonai, Legette, Slayton, Atwell
Njoku, Kmet, Juwan
Caleb, Watson, Jones
Gibbs, JT, Pollard, Charb, Allgeier
Pittman, Pickens, Odunze, Jamo, Lockett, OBJ, Slayton, Moore, Jennings
Pitts, Kmet, Gesicki
Pick 12 sucks.
That's impressive to have that good of a TE room and still have a nice rest of roster.
I think we have it wrong with the prioritizing week 17 correlation. If the odds of getting there are miniscule, shouldn't we focus on increasing those odds by stacking week 15 and 16?
Lately I've been focusing on stacking my QB1 and QB2 with weeks 16 and 17.
I'll try to get at least 1 bring back from each game, then if I can I'll try to add one more for week 17.
Just heard an analyst on SiriusXM say he's drafting Kincaid over LaPorta. This prompted me to think about more about Kincaid.
My opinion - he might be the most talented pass catcher on the team, and I think the other veteran WRs on the team are getting way too much hype. Coleman is the mystery cuz we have no idea what he can do as a rookie.
What do you guys think?
Damn, is Ekeler falling this far normally?
One of my least favorite teams . I got sniped everywhere
Qb : Daniels , Young , Nix
Rb: Aaron Jones, Mostert, Zeke, Chubb, Pierce , Estime
Wr: Jefferson, Adams , Waddle, Kirk , Worthy, Cooks, Thielen, Bateman
Te: Andrews, Taysom , Parham
I think Kincaid has a legit chance of being the number one te this year .
Team seems dependent on how well your QBs perform + RB availability, but still seems pretty solid to me given the risk/reward factor.
There has been more talk and analysis of week stacking of 15 and 16, but the overall consensus is that it doesn’t increase your overall ev by much and you still don’t really want to sacrifice 17 for 15 and 16. And even 17 stacking still falls behind good roster construction, team correlation, etc.
With that said, 15, and especially 16, became more important when they flattened the payouts this year.
Even so, for BBM, in 15 you’re only trying to beat 12 other teams, in 16 you’re only trying to beat 15 other teams, in 17 you’re trying to beat 538 other teams.
I’m into Kincaid, but I’m also into the other top TEs. Kincaid has upside but there are still overall usage concerns with Knox still in the fold.
And yeah, Ekeler has gradually been falling since draft season began. Currently RB40 and 129 overall on UD. He’s higher on DK at RB30 and 105 overall.
Really happy w this one in the fast puppy
Qb - Mahomes, Nix
Rb - Warren, Singletary, Gus, Lloyd, Kendre, CEH
Wr - Chase, Adams, Nabers, Hollywood, Btjr, Franklin, Mims, Tez Walker
Te - Kittle, Engram
Nice. I probably would've waited on TE2 after Kittle though.
Jordan Addison just got a dui .
did he get into an accident or hurt anyone?
if not, should still be okay.
No he passed out in his car on the highway near LAX.
Whether he’s actually at risk of getting suspended or not, he’s going to fall. I would stop taking him in the 6th. Think he can fall to the mid to late 7th behind Keon. Maybe Jamo. Probably won’t fall further than that.
I also find it interesting that the fast puppy is twice the size of the slow, but the fast is filling at a faster rate.
Khalil is another RB who is going too late. The Bears brought in Swift to be a weapon in the passing game before they had K Allen and Odunze. Herbert is actually a better runner.
The argument for Roschon is he is basically free. He is playing in an offense that should score a ton of points. He is still young and possibly ascending. Swift has a history of injuries.
So normally through the first 9 rounds, I like to have 5 WRs, 2 RBs, 1 TE and 1 QB. That's where I've been having the best results.
Tonight I had a different plan. I wanted 4 RBs, 4 WRs, and then either a QB or TE through the first 9 rounds.
Pretty sure I'm supposed to take Gainwell over Gallup with my last pick.
QB - Dak, Watson, Nix
RB - ETN, Walker, Brooks, Javonte, Bigsby
WR - Lamb, Devonta, Dell, Godwin, Jeudy, Burton, Franklin, Rice, Gallup
TE - Kmet, Hunter, Jonnu
When I draft Kittle I try to get another solid TE in the next few rounds. Kittle will have several dud games to go along with his spike weeks. I would personally wait a little later and grab Bowers, Njoku, Freimuth etc.
Another one I did a little earlier. I actually had back to back 1.1's Went Lamb in the one above and CMC in this one.
QB - Herbert, Watson, Dimes
RB - CMC, Monty, Chubb, Sermon, Mattison, Shipley
WR - Aiyuk, Nabers, Higgins, Hollywood, LMC, Palmer, Roman, Rondale, Malik
TE - Njoku, Henry
What's considered a good advance rate? If you have a hundred teams how many should you expect to make it to week 15?