how do we feel about tripling off this spot?
Ignition - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): 98.6 BB
SB: 66 BB
BB: 131.24 BB
UTG: 100 BB
UTG+1: 161.88 BB
MP: 98.6 BB
MP+1: 100.88 BB
CO: 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J♣ A♣
UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, SB calls 3.6 BB, fold, UTG calls 3 BB
Flop: (13 BB, 3 players) 7♦ 4♣ T♥
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 7.2 BB, fold, UTG calls 7.2 BB
Turn: (27.4 BB, 2 players) Q♦
UTG checks, Hero bets 15.04 BB, UTG calls 15.04 BB
River: (57.48 BB, 2 players) 8♣
UTG checks, Hero bets 72.36 BB and is all-in
Notes: see title^
4 Replies
My gut flop is OK - multi way maybe size down slightly and or Cbet a bit less. Heads up I think it's fine, again maybe slightly smaller sizing.
Turn seems reasonable we picked up some equity.
River... Tough spot, I don't hate the jam. I would probably consider doing it too.
So question in my mind is - what's villain limp call with UTG? Maybe medium sized pps and and random suited connectors and some ax type stuff maybe suited?
Obviously a good chunk of that can call call brick this river, but some straights get there.
Hard to see 7x calling both streets here. 89 could. Maybe some Tx with diamonds. J9 with some BDfd stuff.
Blocking some of his Jx maybe block both value and air.
Feel like we would have heard from a set by now.
All in, I don't mind the jam. I think he has a lot of busted draws and weak stuff. But also... You're beating all that stuff if you check back. So what are we specifically looking to fold? Tx maybe some weak qx or 7x that hung on too long?
Dunno if this was helpful, but interesting spot for sure.
Don't like it.
Flop call is too strong and we should just shutdown and hit. You're like 'ahh, his range is crippled on this turn' but the fish is thinking 'he's bluffing, i like my hand'
always interesting to hear others' perspective mane. targeting 2nd pair and some weak Qx. limp call range includes a lot of QJ type-esque hands which is good, but also limp call range point blank implies we are attempting to bluff a fish off top pair, which is not good lol. I overweighted unblocking turned diamond draws too in real time, which is a silly heuristic because, as you pointed out, we beat a good chuck of them that are forced to continue on turn.
cool spot fs, don't mind the bleff but should prolly tone it down at micros
When you bet over 1/2 pot on the flop you're going to fold out a lot of his BS type hands so the Qx really shouldn't be in the range. Normally this is where you can size up turn and blast out a decent chunk of Tx. But when he calls the flop bet that's a stronger range than typical.
I'm usually not looking to triple barrel bluff the fish unless I have the absolute nut low can't even beat busted draws in a XB type hand. With this hand in position vs a fish I'm definitely looking to just take my EV with a checkback, really on any street. I probably XB the flop here just because we are rarely getting better to fold and our hand has good equity against most of his folding range anyways.
