2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Kamara's rushing efficiency has been the same for 3 straight seasons. And also nowhere near his first 4 seasons. His receiving efficiency dropped off by 2.5 yards per reception, but I think a good part of that was because of Carr's bum shoulder.

Kendre was all hopium. He was just an average prospect who had a bad rookie season and couldn't see the field, even with Kamara's poor efficiency. I don't think it's completely over for Kendre, but I was drafting him as more of a contingent upside play than a Kamara replacement play, who may also have some standalone value. Which is why he was going in the 12th/13th. Plus the fact that Jamaal Williams looked completely done, so Kendre seemed like the clear #2.

40-50% of the work on a good offense may still be less valuable than 60-75% of the work on a bad offense, especially if being on the good offense isn't translating to TDs.

I was really hoping to see what Pierce looks like because I'm at like 9% and really think I need more if he's going to be behind Mixon (who I have a hard time getting excited about).

The coaches signaled last year what they thought of Pierce. I suppose there is a chance he could have improved within the scheme, but he's a tough sell, regardless of what you think of Mixon.

With that said, the coaches have talked positively about Pierce over the last few months. And the fact he didn't play last night is likely a good sign he's the #2.

Ogunbowale is also a trusted snap eater, which hurts contingent value for any of the backups.

Swift was signed at a time the Bears needed a weapon in the pass game. Since then they have added Allen and Odunze. Herbert is actually a better runner between the tackles than Swift. Roshon is more trusted in blocking situations. Swift is not a good goal line runner. He was 24th per game last year on an offense with one of the best offensive lines. He was 42nd in the league in expected fantasy points. Shane Waldron was 30th in the league in RB targets. I think he is going to be more of a glorified Jaleel Mclaughlin.

Swifts path to paying off will require Herbert being traded.

The three backs you mentioned all have way more upside than Swift. Also those three are very good at football and have coaches who are good for the running game. These teams don't have near the talent in the passing game that Chicago has. These RB's will be relied on as the focus of the offense.

I am at 3.2% Kamara and 3.2% Swift. I feel fine about it.

And I bet Swift isn't the first one in the building like Jaleel is, either. 😆

I have 6% Kamara and 10% Kendre.

I have 4% Swift, 14% Khalil, and 4% Roschon.

Also, one thing that isn't discussed enough in these debates, and that honestly I'm still trying to get better at, is that you're not really drafting the guy to finish where you're drafting him. You're hoping he'll be better than where you draft him, which you allude to with Najee, Warren, and Brooks.

If you draft Swift as RB20 and he finishes as RB20, sure, that adds some points to your team and may help you advance or make the playoffs in redraft. And he didn't necessarily bust. But that's also not going to be the reason you're winning the contest or the league.

I'm at about 14% Khalil as well.

I feel like I can sleep well passing on Swift. I'm a little nervous about passing on Kamara but I still sleep well.

heyy! team 14% khalil too

Just to be clear… I don’t draft him over any of the guys I listed unless there’s a correlation reason. He goes after all of them…

I just generally disagree with the view that swift sucks and has no upside.

I like Herbert a lot as well, I have almost no roschon

Also, Najee is not very good at football, he’s fine and was solid last year

He's an easy click later in the draft when you need a decent vet to go along with some of your upside RB's.

haha I've got a bit of Najee, but my biggest problem with him is he looks so slow when he runs.

I'll be 40 next month and would bet even money I could beat Najee in a foot race.

I also think Najee is an average RB, but he has a lot of things going for him.

1. Smith’s run heavy scheme, where Smith basically said he expects around 550 rushes from the backfield on the season.

2. Goal line upside, which is more attractive for UD’s scoring.

3. Lack of receiving options, pushing more to the backs.

4. Najee has reportedly dropped weight and knows he’s playing for a contract.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see Najee finish higher than RB21. He also has nice contingent value if something happens to Jaylen.

And by ADP Swift does go right after all of those guys, but a lot of people view it as the same tier.

I think Swift belongs in the late 10th/early 11th with those backs, so I think he’s about 2 rounds too expensive.

Yeah my comment was in response to someone saying Najee was very good at football

I have 31% combined between the Steelers backfield, split relatively evenly and im actively trying to get more, so im all in on them

Alright Madden is straight up on the sauce.

Tua - 88

Hurts - 86

Purdy - 85

Stroud - 81 lol wtf

Trevor - 77 ok this one seems accurate

UD has dropped 2 new contests.

$8 Dachshund with a 4 entry max and an advance rate of 2/12, 1/5, 1/6, with a 156 seat final.

$25 Rottweiler with a 4 entry max and an advance rate of 2/12, 2/10, 2/10, with a 90 seat final.

Do you use different strategies with these smaller final and smaller entry tournaments?

Not really, especially with the finals still being 90 and 156 teams. You still need to hit close to the nuts.

But if you want to focus on advancing a little more since the w15 and w16 advance rates are more favorable, I suppose you could do some of the following.

1. Build more 3 QB and/or 3 TE teams.

2. Stack a little less with regard to how many skill positions you take with a QB or together without the QB.

3. Care slightly less about w17, but I still think it's important. Although, correlating w15 and w16 doesn't matter.

4. I'll probably lean into my player takes a little more than I would compared to more balanced drafting in a contest like the Puppy.

This team is ugly at QB, but I guess it could work out if Trevor hits. I got sniped on Bryce and planned to add Juwan with Carr, but that didn't work out either lol. I also forgot Carr and Trevor shared bye weeks. Hopefully McCarthy plays and is decent.

Trevor, Carr, McCarthy

Achane, A Jones, Brooks, Charb, Gibson, Braelon

JJ, Deebo, Diggs, Tee, BTJ, Gabe, Thielen, Hyatt

Pitts, Fant, Sanders

I think it’s fine. I’m higher than market on all 3 QBs, but yeah getting another qb window guy would’ve been nice

QB drafting is so unpredictable on DK.

Agreed. Some drafts it seems like qb is dried up by round 10 and others qbs drop a bunch .

Fields now my 5th highest QB at 13%. Draft like you're right...so they say.

QB - Caleb, Trevor, Fields

RB - Bijan, Kyren, Ekeler, Charb, Chuba, Herbert

WR - Flowers, Kirk, Ridley, Odunze, JSN, Chark, Baker, Jefferson

TE - LaPorta, Conklin, Stover

like fields as well. high upside flyer often available last round

newguy, whats your view on dolphins backfield usage this year?