2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Hit my 100th bbm

I think I’m pretty burnt out from drafting a little over 350 tms between ud and dk so may call it a little early. Maybe will get a few more drafts in a week before the season or something

Here’s my 100th tm, will post my final UD exposures too

Qb - Mahomes, Geno

Rb - Najee, Brob, Spears, Corum, Charb, Prince

Wr - MHJ, London, Worthy, Reed, JSN, Dortch, R Wilson, Whittington

Te - Kelce, Fant

Here’s my final UD Exposure (at least for the next few weeks)

Kyler is my next qb behind Levis at 7%, wish I had gotten a bit higher on him

Kupp at only 4% is not my favorite, but I have 12% Puka at least

Really wish I had 25%+ Rashee Rice. Rice is a 2nd rd pick if he’s not suspended and it feels like that’s likely to be the case

Obv unfortunate on Nuk and Lloyd, but I stopped taking post injury. Have 11% Addison too, which is another player I stopped taking post dui

Did a Madden draft lol. Picked the highest rated players each round with a few caveats

1. Take positional need into consideration. If I select 5 WRs to start, then I won't take a WR in the 6th round even if the highest rated player was a WR.

2. It's okay to forego the highest rated player in favor of stacking a QB/WR/TE

I kind of screwed #1 with Bowers when I should've gone RB or WR

QB - Lamar, Baker, Levis

RB - CMC, Pollard, Zeke, Wright, Pierce, Laube

WR - Olave, Evans, Reed, Worthy, Shaheed, Thielen, McMilan, Tez, Burks

TE - Andrews, Bowers

I’m really burned out and looking forward to a break. I’m over 800 drafts.

But I keep pumping myself up by telling myself this is the most optimal time to draft. Although, 75-80% of my volume has been slows. New slows are coming to an end.

Nice team.

by jimmymcgill8 P

Here’s my final UD Exposure (at least for the next few weeks)

Kyler is my next qb behind Levis at 7%, wish I had gotten a bit higher on him

Kupp at only 4% is not my favorite, but I have 12% Puka at least

Really wish I had 25%+ Rashee Rice. Rice is a 2nd rd pick if he’s not suspended and it feels like that’s likely to be the case

Obv unfortunate on Nuk and Lloyd, but I stopped taking post injury. Have 11% Addison too,

I think you’ll look back and be happy with most of these. My goal is going to be to spread a little less next year and push some more guys. Nothing crazy, but I want to be at close to 0% on the guys I really don’t believe in.

This could be contrarian and completely wrong, but most people seem to think this game is won on who you smash. Drafters love to tout high exposure players. But I think it’s more about who you don’t draft.

I don't think it's wrong at all.

Forcing players you don't have a strong take on just for the sake of exposure is FOMO.

It’s crazy we are all burnt out but the most important drafts haven’t happened yet

That’s fair. Although, I don't think player takes are the strongest part of my game.

And it’s not necessarily a force. But should I even be taking those players in correlation or when they fall in ADP? Everyone should technically have a right price.

I feel this way about Zamir White, for instance. A comfy 4% exposure blanket I could have spread to other RBs in that range.

The worst part is I know I'll miss it when it's gone. I don't really care for DFS or other in-season games. Drafting the full season is by far my favorite. I'll play my redraft and dynasty teams, but that'll be the extent of my in-season work.

But having been in slows for most days since the end of January, it'll feel nice to not wake up and have to make picks or make picks before I go to bed or make picks before I go somewhere.

Sackreligious with Legendary Upside was talking about being in over 300 slow drafts the other day. And I was just like god damn lol.

That's different.

I think it's okay to take players in those instances as long as you think they have potential.

Like I'm not going to draft Robert Woods late if even I have Stroud.

Another rough one where every single good TE was sniped or went really early.

QB - Allen, Fields, Minshew

RB - Mixon, Singletary, Dowdle, Dobbins, Irving, Davis

WR - AJB, Adams, Diggs, Pickens, Coleman, Samuel, Franklin, Austin

TE - Schultz, Taysom, Jonnu

I’ve been wanting some more Taysom.

Current exposure over 177 drafts. I said at the beginning how high I was on Bijan, so a bit said to see he's only at 13%. Getting him to at least 20% is priority number one.

I'm on the clock in a slow draft. We are in round 6 and I have pick 68. Here is my team so far.

RB) Kyren, Jacobs

WR) Jefferson, Collins, Cooper

I'm planning on pushing Stroud to my round 7 pick. Pitts and Kittle are still on the board several spots past ADP. Diontae Johnson would be my choice at WR. He is about at his ADP. If I don't take WR here I will probably be shut out of this tier of WR. I have a good chance of getting Njoku or Bowers in rounds 8 or 9. The WR's aren't great in this area.

What would you do?

This is a gross spot, not taking Jacobs prevents it, but now that we’re here a couple things to consider

Who would the WRs be in Rd7? If BTJR/JSN/Keon/Ladd… might still be there, it changes things a lot. If it’s like Nuk/Addison/Samuel, then you have to take wr I think (although I may take BTJR or JSN over Diontae with your specific team). It’s fine regardless though

If the btjr/JSN group will be available in 7 I’d take Pitts and then one of them and push qb to Jayden + Deshaun or something

BTJr/JSN/Keon/Ladd would probably be gone. The teams ahead of me are WR needy after taking TE's, QB's and RB's. I'm starting to really like Jacobs the more I think about it. Lloyd is looking less like a threat. I think they are going to throw to him a ton. This team should score a bunch of points. Also, I have very little exposure to him. I'm not a Terry Maclaurin guy. Hollywood is a no go at that spot. I really thought that Pitts and Kittle would be gone giving me more WR options.

Why do you like BTJR and JSN with this specific team?

I've warmed up to D Johnson as well. He could be early season Thielen like but hopefully for the whole year. I'm predicting a bounce back Bryce season. I can see him being the security blanket for Bryce. The coaches have said good things about his usage.

It is tough to pass on the good value of Pitts or Kittle.

I think the gap is bigger between Diontae and the next group of WRs you'd have available vs the gap between Pitts/Kittle and Njoku/Bowers.

So I'd take Diontae.

I have no issue with Jacobs, but taking 2 early RBs is tough to deal with structurally.

I think Diontae is fine, but you have some good vets already. I prefer to take high upside swings when I have 3 solid early season production WRs already. I try to take Diontae in builds where I have more potential early season volatility (MHJ/Nabers/Rome/Rice etc…)

I also have Diontae in the same general tier as the others I listed

If they’re gone though in 7 you don’t really have a choice but to take wr here

Agreed. If I'm taking WR, it's not Diontae. Already having JJ, Collins, and Cooper, I'm chasing rookie upside or year 2 breakout upside in JSN right there.

With that said, I'm likely taking the Pitts value and figuring it out later. Although, planning to take Stroud at 77 makes it a little tougher, since you wouldn't take a WR from this tier if they're still there. If you end up 1-2-3-1 through 7, I'd be aiming for a 2-5-9-2 build.

Also, funny spot. I just opened a Poodle 2 slow, and I'm at pick 68 with Pitts still on the board. Kittle was taken at 65. But my team is 0-1-4-0, with Achane, Chase, Evans, Cooper, and Rice, so Pitts is an easy click.

Going for upside at WR makes sense.

It does make things tough when you go two early RB's. I gambled that I would be able to get two good WR's with my next two picks. I may still be able to but it's doubtful.

Thanks for the feedback.

I think Pitts > Kittle by a small tier difference.

It’s definitely all projection with Pitts, but he’s extremely young still. I love Kittle to though but only take him over Pitts if there’s correlation reasons.

I would be shocked if Kittle was the TE1 in drafts next year, I wouldn’t be shocked if Pitts was

I've struggled with the appropriate ranking of all of the elite TEs. I think there are valid arguments to rank them all in varying orders, so I've mainly stuck to ADP getting roughly equal exposure to each. LaPorta 7%, Kelce 8%, McBride 9%, Andrews 11%, Kincaid 8%, Pitts 10%, and Kittle 10%. Bowers is my highest TE at 16%.

With that said, in a vacuum, Kittle probably should be ahead of Pitts. However, I think it's very possible that Pitts has more upside than Kittle, and honestly, maybe more than any TE. The market has assumed London will be the top target, but what if it's just Pitts? Cousins has a great history of passing to his TE. And it really can't be understated enough how bad Pitts's QB situation was the last 2 seasons, plus his knee injury.

That would be a tough decision in the 7th between CJ and one of those WRs, but I probably also lean the WRs too, since CJ would only be a single stack.

You're right. Kittle has no chance of being TE 1 but Pitts could be. Kittle is just too darn good of a blocker.

You guy's are talking me into Pitts. Maybe a good WR is still on the board in the 7th and if not I'll take CJ. I can always pull up a WR I like since I'm picking in the middle. Pitts also gives me another QB out. I'm not excited to take Bryce with Diontae.

Pitts is probably the best upside pick there with the onesie element plus the fact you already have 3 strong WRs. I still try my best to have 4 WRs through 7, but sometimes I'll challenge myself with something like 1-2-3-1 through 7.

Also possible that Hopkins, Addison, or Jamo is there at 92. If not, I think you can still fill it in with Doubs, Jeudy, Cooks, Gabe, Adonai, etc. types.