Hero Fold Ever Here?

Hero Fold Ever Here?

1/3 NL live at Tampa Hard Rock Effective Stack $590 buy in is $200-$600

Folds to villain on button who raises to 10
SB Calls
Hero Raises in BB to 55 w/ Ah Kd
Button calls, SB calls
Ks 9d 6d
Sb checks
Hero bets $80
Button goes all in for $535 total
SB Folds
Hero calls
Villain shows 9c 9s

I had been playing for about 45 mins. Not a ton of to go off of, as there was one fish going all in pre almost every hand (seriously, not in this hand though), so not a whole lot of normal play going on.

In a vacuum, is this a fold? Are people in general only shoving like this with the nuts? Seemed weird to not just do a regular raise with the 99 and pretty much target AA and AK only. It also seems dumb to call a huge overbet too.

Thank you for any feedback on the call as well as the villain shove. I should have bet more on the flop as well.

04 September 2024 at 05:52 AM
Reply...

10 Replies


Correction - this was a 1/2 game with all the same data points


At spr 3.5 you’re committed. I would expect to see a lot of combo draws like T8dd QJdd etc


You're supposed to lose your stack in these situations, especially against splashy opponents.

Your flop bet was fine.


Just check flop from OOP and multi-way.

As played, at these stakes, when V raises to 6.5x, I probably just fold.


Foreword: people's judgement will unavoidably be biased by knowing the results: do not post them right away (or do not post them at all).

OTTH, trying to be as objective as I can ...

Preflop, you might go slightly bigger , but that's detail.

OTF, I do not think you should have bet more; actually, 1/2 pot looks already a bit large 3 ways, imo.
A "reasonable" range for btn would include sets and combodraws (87dd), but on the other hand such a huge raise in position seems quite fishy to me, so who knows.
Anyway, now we have to decide whether to play for ~300bb stacks with one pair ... The answer depends very much on our reads on V, and also on how much variance we are willing to accept.


rts

I would fold, we have AK in our range (and AA/KK) especially if she doesn't know you. Random recs don't usually play FD's like that (or call a 3bet pre with a SC) she would mostly have PP's I would think that may have flopped a set (as we later saw).


Can't fold here. Bad players love to jam this spot with flush draws and will often have AK themselves, even though it's kind of a mandatory 4b with SB behind. KQ or some random spazz is also a possibility.

Running into middle set is just a cooler.


by elmcityboy P

Can't fold here. Bad players love to jam this spot with flush draws and will often have AK themselves, even though it's kind of a mandatory 4b with SB behind. KQ or some random spazz is also a possibility.

I've found the opposite, that bad rec's don't jam with draws but they'll jam to protect a good made hand when there's a FD possibility otf.


Thank you, all. Probably not too big of an exploit to fold there considering the crazy number of BBs in question.

Best case is a combo draw where we are even money. Even folding to a shown NFD is not losing that much. KQ is a possible but very remote chance.

Just sucks the only hands it can really be are 99 or 66 exactly, but for me too, in my experience at low limit NLH, huge bets tend to predominantly be nutted hands.


Flop bet is OK you might want to go a little smaller.

My initial instinct was there are plenty of draws and no two pair apart from 2x K9s. That said it's a big jam and the draws are guaranteed to see two cards. Calling isn't a mistake but the big raise might be if it lets you get away.


Reply...