Vice-President Kamala Harris

I am in since 48 on Harris as I though that was mispriced already

Seriously though where can I buy because I’d like to put some money on it.

i'm a broken record on this point but trump has systematically outperformed polls:

clinton had 6pt polling lead in MI heading into election and lost; biden had 8pt MI polling lead and only won by 3%; harris currently has 2pt polling lead in MI

clinton had slight polling lead in NC heading into election and lost by 4%; biden had 2pt NC lead and lost by 1%; harris currently trailing in NC polls

predictit is very simple and easy, you can get a max of 850 on each position but there's a lot of parallel markets to get around that

things like who will be next president and will next president be a woman are the same thing for example but allow you to get down more

so in theory if you want kamala you can get $850 of shares in yes and then another $850 on trump no for each market

and if you're getting some longshots then it can pay out a nice multiple

other option is offshore bookmakers (can't bet on that stuff on legals in usa other than predictit which uses an "aiding academic research" loophole) or get some crypto and go to polymarket

2p2s own domer is one of the most prolific polymarket market makers

He's the ardent climate change denial guy, right?

National-Sozialisten.
Translates to national-socialists.

Ah, that explains why the Democratic Republic of the Congo is so democratic.

Weirdly enough, being German doesn't mean you understand politics. Not even German politics.

idk anything about that but that would definitely surprise me

he often has 6 figure positions there so i could definitely see him posting things in hopes some suckers take the opposite side

as someone who's studied a bit of geology where you are studying rocks that were the floor of an ancient sea once that are now at the peak of the rockies, i must say that a lot of the climate change science (as it is relayed to and digested by the general public) is predicated on a false assumption that the climate doesn't change naturally - this is usually shot down with strawmen of "that takes millions of years" whereas it's quite clear looking at geologic records and glacial cores that we indeed have had periods of rapid change which occurred naturally within the span of a few decades

this is not to say that there isn't overwhelming evidence we're speeding up the process with greenhouse gases
also, climate change that forces adaptation will inevitably be very bad for all of us and we should take any possible measures possible to counteract or at least slow down the rate of change

but simple things like glaciers melting or it's 2 degrees warmer than it was 100 years ago are not inherently against the natural order of things and to which extent we are directly influencing it is not clear at all

again, i'm a staunch environmentalist and do wish to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases, but one must also ground that with the understanding is that the climate is always changing regardless of what we do

Source: trust me bro

Correct, it is exactly like that. Well done.

Police reports, in Germany.

i'm not bothered enough to check that, nor would care about the result if you did check it (i also wouldn't bother the search function is terrible unless it was recent) but it would surprise me because you can't have any expectations of doing well in those kinds of markets if you bring with you any certainty and aren't open to just go with whatever is good value

tom brady is the best nfl quarterback ever, i think he would still be a starter today if he wanted to play now, yet i would never be able to pay the bills if i regularly wagered upon him or constructed rosters focused around him in dfs each week

it's like when people learn i sports bet, they want to know if i like the a certain team to win it all, and my answer will always be "it depends on the price" and they just don't get it that i'll happily bet any team or side at the right number

if i could get 100k:1 that man made climate change would be proven to be fake by the end of the month each month, i'd steadily be losing $10 each month because that's a price i'm willing to go against my own belief upon

I'm not bothered, I was just wondering if he was the guy I was thinking of. I might be confusing him with someone. Trolly should remember, he was in those threads.

Again, source is trust me bro.

I know you’re lying about American voter fraud, so it’s pretty likely you’re also lying about German voter fraud.

LOL. Good thing she wasn't wearing a tan suit.

I see that Parasense is trying to get himself banned. I have confidence that he will succeed.

you better arrange your staking agreement quickly then

I no longer mod this forum. I won't have to wait until Christmas.

Lol….
Yeah because it’s called like that it surely means it is .
Always judge a book by its cover .

if you aren't able to come up with a non racist reason to referring to her as a sloth then it'll certainly be incoming without any action from roc

he was neither advocating nor pleading, it was clear to everyone your account had a shelf life of from now until whenever a mod sees that post

If you are implying that I reported you, I did not.

I don't hope for bans. I just have a remarkable ability to predict when a poster will be too big a jackass to avoid a ban.

I'm sure this is posted or talked about somewhere in here. But what do the MAGA supporters in here make of this?

https://www.thedailybeast.com/doj-bombsh...
DOJ Bombshell Alleges MAGA Media Group Is Backed by Russian Money

Sincerely curious to hear your takes.

They need a little time to come up with their take on it.