2024 Fantasy Football Thread
Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of January. Through 95 drafts, my exposures are below. The player order is based on current ADP. Some of these ADPs have been quite fluid over the last 3 months, with FAs and rookies moving the most. Most of my exposures are structurally driven, rather than player take driven. Especially at this point in the game, pre-draft.
But there are some players I simply couldn't avoid going heavy on, like McBride and Andrews in the 5th round. I'm actually quite heavy all of the top TEs, minus LaPorta and Kincaid. I also tried to make sure I had at least 1 TE by the end of round 8, with Ferguson being the last of the group.
Also took approaches like attacking Nabers and Odunze harder than MHJ, at their relative prices.
What do we like and not like?
Rookie season is also upon us. Redraft is still 3.5 months away from heating up, but there will be rookie drafts, dynasty startups, and best ball drafts leading up until then.
Good luck to all, and may injuries and variance be kind.
Hi guys,
Hope you all crushing your best ball related drafts. Would it make any sense to separate out that stuff from the traditional snake draft content so we can get more conversation going on particular players? I know this thread has always been my go to for good content on player discussion in past years. Heels are you still in regular fantasy leagues at all?
No worries if I am too old school and everyone prefers the current set up of th
Trying our best to crush haha. There are still quite a bit player take discussions here too, but with the number of posts, some of it can get buried. I'd participate in two separate threads if they existed, just not sure if there is enough forum traffic for it to make sense. But there have been a few other posters wondering if 2 threads would make sense.
And I still have 3 redraft leagues and 5 dynasty leagues.
Glad I have 10% JJM in best ball haha
This injury bull **** is exactly why I'm not a 20%+ exposure drafter lol.
lol I’ve lost a good share of late round guys so far but I have no McCarthy and limited Gibbs
The Tracy and Rondale Moore injuries stung a bit .
Sounds like it's a torn meniscus. Depending on how the surgery goes once they get in there, sounds like it could be a month or two or maybe up to 6 months costing him the season.
If JJ is out for the year where should Darnold go in drafts? Maybe in the Geno/Rodgers tier? Rd 14/15. I don't know if I trust he'll keep the job though. Mullens isn't bad. I think I would put him just after these guy's.
A little after Levis imo. Same kinda situation but Levis likely has more rope before he’s pulled
Geno/Rodgers/Baker/etc… are almost for sure starting all yr barring injury and are almost for sure not terrible. Darnold may just be terrible
Looks like Aiyuk is either staying in San Fran or going to Pittsburgh .
If JJ is out for the year where should Darnold go in drafts? Maybe in the Geno/Rodgers tier? Rd 14/15. I don't know if I trust he'll keep the job though. Mullens isn't bad. I think I would put him just after these guy's.
A little after Levis imo. Same kinda situation but Levis likely has more rope before he’s pulled
Geno/Rodgers/Baker/etc… are almost for sure starting all yr barring injury and are almost for sure not terrible. Darnold may just be terrible
Yeah, I'd still slot him behind all of the guys we think have really good chances to start all 17, barring injury. Vikings is ideally a great environment, but outside of JJ, their weapons are still iffy with Addison's legal troubles plus Hock's injury return. Another concern with Hock that a lot of people don't consider is they could just slow play him if the season is going terribly. Why rush him back and make him an every down player if the Vikings are looking out of it halfway through the year? What if he really isn't playing much in the playoff weeks even if he is mostly healthy?
After Levis seems fair, although, I'm not sure I'd take him over Carr, Bryce or Nix, and probably not even Maye. I'd consider Darnold over Dimes and Fields.
A lot of the live stream guy's have 30%+ on players. I've always thought that is crazy this early in the year.
Me too. I get going 30%+ if you're doing up to 50-100 drafts, but if you're out there drafting 300, 400, 500+ teams, I don't understand not wanting to be more evenly exposed. At the end of the day, the market is still pretty efficient at the ADP game, especially with how much discussion and content is out there these days.
Probably a good call haha.
A little after Levis imo. Same kinda situation but Levis likely has more rope before he’s pulled
Geno/Rodgers/Baker/etc… are almost for sure starting all yr barring injury and are almost for sure not terrible. Darnold may just be terrible
I'll have 0% Darnold the more I think about it.
A little after Levis imo. Same kinda situation but Levis likely has more rope before he’s pulled
Geno/Rodgers/Baker/etc… are almost for sure starting all yr barring injury and are almost for sure not terrible. Darnold may just be terrible
I'll have 0% darnold the more I think about it.
How do we think this effects Jefferson?
I think the Jefferson bet is the same. He was going to be a 30%+ target guy either way. Might limit his upside very slightly since there is a good chance McCarthy is better than Darnold. But I think JJ should remain as the 1.05. And think it’s reasonable if anyone ranks him above Chase, even if I don’t.
Also
I think the Jefferson bet is the same. He was going to be a 30%+ target guy either way. Might limit his upside very slightly since there is a good chance McCarthy is better than Darnold. But I think JJ should remain as the 1.05. And think it’s reasonable if anyone ranks him above Chase, even if I don’t.
I was never super high on JJ (7%) because of the unknowns at QB. The only reason I played him is because I realized there was a chance McCarthy would eventually get the starting job.
But if McCarthy is going to be out indefinitely and Darnold is the starter, I don't think I want anything to do with JJ at his current price.
Here's a list of 1,000 yard receivers from last season who had below average QBs. Only 1 finished inside the top 10.
I get it. And bad QB play can certainly hamper. But the case for JJ is
-best receiver in the league.
-hardly any target competition.
-the Vikings defense is mid.
-produced with Nick Mullens and Josh Dobbs
-still has one of the highest single week ceilings in the entire league.
-while Darnold sucks, I’d wager from a fantasy standpoint he’s better than AOC, Pickett, Minshew, Wilson, and probably Howell.
-one of the most passing offense friendly coaches in the league.
I’m evenly exposed to the entire first round by drafting pure to ADP. And I’ll probably finish draft season with the same strategy.
He’s probably more of a fade in redraft than best ball at cost.
Hollywood brown out 4-6 weeks.
These dudes continue to smash fantasy functionality.
Sounds like he's aiming for a week 3 return, which will be pretty nice for his discounted price. He'll be an easy click as a WR 4 or 5 on the team and now at a reasonable price behind both Rice and Worthy.
Also, Tracy might not be as serious as we first thought.
Yea phew on Tracy .
Schnauzer pick 1.
I did the 2/7/7/2 again because I felt light at RB's. I'm gonna need some big luck from one of these late guy's.
I took Burrow early with the hopes of still getting Prescott. The last 4 times I drafted Lamb I've been sniped on Dak.
QB) Burrow, Dak
RB) Swift, Dowdle, Dobbins, Wright, Irving, Shipley, Bigsby
WR) Lamb, Nabers, Olave, Higgins, Rice, Meyers, Dortch
TE) Pitts, Fant
I was never super high on JJ (7%) because of the unknowns at QB. The only reason I played him is because I realized there was a chance McCarthy would eventually get the starting job.
But if McCarthy is going to be out indefinitely and Darnold is the starter, I don't think I want anything to do with JJ at his current price.
Here's a list of 1,000 yard receivers from last season who had below average QBs. Only 1 finished inside the top 10.
I'm with newguy. I've been passing on JJ because of the QB uncertainty (probably to my detriment.) I don't think there is any situation where I ever click on Sam Darnold. McCarthy, while very accurate in college, but wasn't tasked to win games with his arm. With him out, I'm out on JJ unless his ADP falls into the second round.
Holy ****, DK finally added the total pick number to the draft board.
