2024 Fantasy Football Thread

It's Addison over those guys for sure if he's ok. I kind of like those guy's as a number 5/6 if I went at least 4 WR's early and then made some pivots. I now feel pretty good about adding Shakir in Allen stacks. Before he was a "meh" type of pick. Nix looks like he can run an offense so I think Courtland could be sneaky good. Palmer may be the only healthy good WR on the squad.

I'm at 4.8% Jefferson and everyday trying to get lower on that.

I like Sutton a lot. Surprised I'm only 8%

It’s an ankle for Addison and they don’t think it’s serious .

I still think he can score some nice weeks and is live to be a top 15-20 WR. And I still think there are realms where he can be a top 5-10 WR scorer. But it could be inconsistent, which will be more annoying in managed.

I only take Shakir in Allen stacks or as a major faller. I got him in the 140s a few times. I don't think he's good, at all, but I'll take the spike week upside paired with Josh.

My problem with Sutton and Palmer is that I think they are mostly JAGs, so I usually have WR locked up here and am taking RB, TE, or QB. I was thinking about how many early WR heavy teams I have yesterday and started wondering if I should have been targeting more WRs in the 8th-12th rounds in favor of some of the RBs in the earlier rounds. But then I remembered I was taking starting RBs and high upside QBs/TEs in those rounds and felt better about my strategy.

Palmer being the only healthy WR would probably be bad, since it'd be even easier for the defense to cover him. He surely isn't good enough to win a lot of those matchups against the opposing team's top corner. Palmer was also a pretty bad prospect. He never even cleared 500 yards in a college season. Sutton scored 10 TDs last year and still didn't really matter. I've never understood his appeal.

Here are JJs stats with Nick Mullens (I think) after coming back from injury (not counting game one as he only played 18% of snaps)

Nick Mullens sucks and he still produced

7 rec, 84yds, 0td (10 targets)
6 rec, 141 yds, 1td (10 targets)
5 rec, 59 yds, 0td (10 targets)
12 rec, 192yds, 1td (14 targets)

4 game avg - 7.5 rec, 119yds, .5td

I think ppl are way overthinking JJ. He’s the best wr in the nfl, plays in a dome, and in a good system for passing

To me he’s clearly still a top 6 pick at worst

Yeah, I’d be way more concerned about an end of season “injury” shut down for a bad team than him not being able to produce when he’s on the field.

Even if he has a bunch of uncatchable targets, he should still be able to get there on volume. I wouldn’t be surprised if he paced for 200 targets.

Unfortunately for JJ Nick Mullens won't be the starting QB. Mullens has shown he can support fantasy contributors. Mullins had a year in the system prior to last year. I think that 4 games is a small sample size. My concern is this turns into a situation Davante Adams went through last year. Maybe O'connel can work his magic with Darnold. I don't think this is over thinking it at all. I see it as recognizing that things are significantly different this year while others are acting like it's business as usual. I remember the year Jordy Nelson broke his leg before the year and nobody moved Rodgers down the rankings at all. Rodgers ended up having a subpar year. Go figure! Give me the guy's with elite QB's. I realize JJ is one of the best receivers in the game but so is Davante Adams. I'm predicting much frustration this year for JJ owners.

I would rank JJ behind Breece and Bijan. My main argument is against those who think JJ should be pick 3 or 4.

Yeah I guess I just don’t really buy the argument that Nick Mullens matters here. Like is Nick Mullens better than Darnold, I’d argue probably not. Nick Mullens, Darnold, Mond, etc… are all mediocre backups imo. Darnold at least has a modicum of upside (very small)

I think if Kirk was still there JJ would be the consensus #2 pick , so you are getting a discount at 6.

In season long I’d be fine with the RBs over JJ but definitely prefer JJ over them in best ball

I also thought someone said they wouldn’t take JJ in the first round and I thought someone agreed with them, which was more my “overreaction” comment

I'll have you know I just took JJ at pick 7. I would have taken Breece but he was picked right before me. This is on DK. I'm willing to talk **** about a player but not dumb enough to trust I know better than everybody else.

Darnold is probably better than Mullens. I'd argue that the team would throw for more yards with Mullens but have a better chance to win with Darnold. Darnold has been with a couple fantastic coaches the last two years so maybe he has a late Geno like break out. Maybe they trade for Flacko. Then I'd move Jefferson up to number one.

Dk milly from the 9 hole

Qb : Dak , Levis , Darnold

Rb : Rashaad , Mostert , Moss , Dobbins, Estime , Mattison

Wr : AjB, Marv , DK , Diggs , McConkey , Bateman , Boyd , Van Jefferson

Te: Pitts , Muth , Taysom

Dak w/o Lamb

Darnold w/o JJ

Are you rich?

I do like your RBs a lot tho

1.02 go raiders, i guess

QB - Dak, Baker, Minshew

RB - Najee, Singletary, Dowdle, Gibson, Pierce, Laube

WR - Lamb, Davante, Devonta, Flowers, Godwin, Gabe, Legette, McMilan, Means

TE - Kincaid, Bowers

Every draft I make at least one lack of focus mistake. Just now I drafted B Allen forgetting that I had Breece Hall. In another, I took Goedert thinking I needed a TE forgetting I drafted Kelce earlier. In my latest draft I nearly forgot I had Hurts unstacked and almost passed on Goedert 20 spots past adp.

Fortunately I am a world class drafter. However, my focus mistakes are holding me back.

Do any of you do dumb things like this? How do you stay focused?

I still do some dumb **** like that too, even using tools lol.

If I recall, you said you were a desktop drafter. If so, SpikeWeek DraftIQ would probably be worth the investment at your volume level. It’s $39.99/mo.

In real-time, you can see certain player combo exposures, exposure of that specific player across the slate, exposure in that specific contest, etc. There is an option to see % with first TE drafted. So assuming you had drafted Goedert with Kelce in a prior draft, you’d have seen a percentage for that slot on the overlay.

You can color code both team level and w15/16/17 correlations, to easily see that. Braelon would have been highlighted in your chosen team level color, so you would have known you had a Jet already and checked to see if it was Breece. Goedert would have highlighted to let you know you already drafted an Eagle.

The Sidekick that LegUp created is more expensive, but it weighs draft capital and other variables to take it a step further than just simply being informational. But I like the data SpikeWeek overlays better. You could also use both in tandem.

Some people don’t like the tools. Some people worry best ball will go the way of DFS and online poker. Thankfully, a game that has a 17 game slate will be impossible to solve with the variance. But I do think these tools can increase ev by lowering mistakes, helping you better plan, etc.

This is what it looks like on DK, but it looks the same overlayed to UD.

I just use a basic spreadsheet. I'll delete the rows as players are drafted. When I draft someone I'll highlight that team and their week 17 opponent.

I do dumb **** like punt week 11. Hey it's only 1 week. Zero RB build with 2 rushing QBs. 1.04

From 1.06

QB - Burrow, Caleb, Watson

RB - Kyren, Javonte, Spears, Roschon, Dillon, Davis

WR - Chase, Evans, Pittman, Keenan, Jeudy, Burton, Chark, Thrash

TE - Pitts, Kmet, Likely

by CowboyCold P

I do dumb **** like punt week 11. Hey it's only 1 week. Zero RB build with 2 rushing QBs. 1.04

This seems fine to me. I don’t worry too much about bye weeks unless it’s a 2 qb build then I’ll avoid matching qb byes.

At te, having 2 w11 byes only costs you like 4pts so you’re ok

The thing I'd be most worried/upset about is pairing Swift+Herbert and Singletary+Tracy in the same lineup.

That's going to severely limit the upside of your RB group.

Yep. Didn't even notice that.

These $3 SnG contests are making me crazy. 1.08. Went RB, RB, TE, QB just for the LOLs. First WR taken was Godwin. Probably should have taken another TE in round 18 instead of Nix. Like it's going to matter. 😆

Don't like having all 3 QBs unstacked (I don't consider Estime a stack).

Going RB/RB to start is fine, but you can't go elite QB and TE when you do, otherwise you're sacrificing too much at WR.

Puppy 3 is live. Probably going to be fast drafts only from here for me. Don't want to get stuck in accelerated time clock slow draft hell lol.

My brain knows this but my finger says it's only 3 bucks. FWIW I got sniped on Goff by a team that had no DET players.

Now that the Puppy is live, you should definitely fire that instead of anymore SNGs.

for the lulz

Playing as Miami v Commanders. Down 28-21 in the 4th. Throw a deep post to Reek and running into the endzone with 2 defenders in tow. I press the celebration button and he throws up the deuces. I run out at the 1