2024 Fantasy Football Thread

2024 Fantasy Football Thread

Welcome to the 2024 fantasy season, where I'm officially addicted to best ball. I've been drafting since the end of January. Through 95 drafts, my exposures are below. The player order is based on current ADP. Some of these ADPs have been quite fluid over the last 3 months, with FAs and rookies moving the most. Most of my exposures are structurally driven, rather than player take driven. Especially at this point in the game, pre-draft.

But there are some players I simply couldn't avoid going heavy on, like McBride and Andrews in the 5th round. I'm actually quite heavy all of the top TEs, minus LaPorta and Kincaid. I also tried to make sure I had at least 1 TE by the end of round 8, with Ferguson being the last of the group.

Also took approaches like attacking Nabers and Odunze harder than MHJ, at their relative prices.

What do we like and not like?






Rookie season is also upon us. Redraft is still 3.5 months away from heating up, but there will be rookie drafts, dynasty startups, and best ball drafts leading up until then.

Good luck to all, and may injuries and variance be kind.

25 April 2024 at 04:46 PM
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3755 Replies

i
a

Got a best ball team going

first 3 picks
1. ARM
2. J taylor
3.Pacheco
4: Should I pick Kelce or Laporta to start a stack or best wr avaiable cooper or pickens or kirk or terry mclaurin or keenen allen?


You need a WR after taking 2 RBs.


Who is ARM ?


lions wr brown


by skillivey P

lions wr brown

Oh ok that’s what I was thinking but couldn’t figure out the M lol .

Agree with tarheels. You really want 4 wrs by round 7.


drafting in 12 spot bball
1. J taylor
2. Deebo
3/4 I have two picks back to back do you ever take both Kelce and La porta here or take 1 te and 1 wr or take 2 wr avaiable ones: Flowers, Cooper, Higgins, Pickens, Kirk and Rice

What would you do

if we take both Kelce and La porta are we in a big hole at WR siince will have to wait 22 picks before it comes back to us ?


by tarheels2222 P

I still do some dumb **** like that too, even using tools lol.

If I recall, you said you were a desktop drafter. If so, SpikeWeek DraftIQ would probably be worth the investment at your volume level. It’s $39.99/mo.

In real-time, you can see certain player combo exposures, exposure of that specific player across the slate, exposure in that specific contest, etc. There is an option to see % with first TE drafted. So assuming you had drafted G

I'll look into this. Thanks or the info.


by skillivey P

drafting in 12 spot bball
1. J taylor
2. Deebo
3/4 I have two picks back to back do you ever take both Kelce and La porta here or take 1 te and 1 wr or take 2 wr avaiable ones: Flowers, Cooper, Higgins, Pickens, Kirk and Rice

What would you do

if we take both Kelce and La porta are we in a big hole at WR siince will have to wait 22 picks before it comes back to us ?


I'd go LaPorta and Flowers or Rice


What about kelce and rice to build stack ?

I personally think Kelce will have better year not sure why Laporta rank higher on underdog, DK kelce is ranked higher


by skillivey P

What about kelce and rice to build stack ?

I personally think Kelce will have better year not sure why Laporta rank higher on underdog, DK kelce is ranked higher

Underdog is half ppr. DK is full ppr. Kelce is more valuable on DK.


RB Chris Evans of the Bengals is out for the season. Does this increase the odds that the Bengals go after Perine if he is cut? I've been very nervous about the Moss/Brown situation. Both have been a fade for me. I know a ton of people are all over Chase Brown right now. This backfield has me nervous. The narrative is that you want the Bengal RB's but if they aren't good does it really matter? They may be good but they might not.


Usually I like to go 1-3-5-1 in the first 10 rounds. Tonight I tried something a little different and went 0-4-4-2.

Also if I'm going to play JJ/Darnold, then I'm going full blown Vikings stack.


From 1.05

QB - Levis, Darnold, Maye

RB - Walker, Swift, Pollard, Brooks, Dillon, Estime

WR - JJ, Nico, Devonta, Reed, Gabe, Polk, Nailor, Westbrook

TE - McBride, Bowers, Hockenson


by mongidig P

RB Chris Evans of the Bengals is out for the season. Does this increase the odds that the Bengals go after Perine if he is cut? I've been very nervous about the Moss/Brown situation. Both have been a fade for me. I know a ton of people are all over Chase Brown right now. This backfield has me nervous. The narrative is that you want the Bengal RB's but if they aren't good does it really matter? They may be good but they might not.

I think the thought is Mixon isn’t good either and he produced. Volume can trump skill. Plus, Moss and Brown have some upside traits. I think both have been great zero or hero RB targets since if either or both hit, it’s a boon with the strength of your other positions.

At this point, I wouldn’t be surprised if Peyton was sick enough to carry 5 RBs lol.


by skillivey P

drafting in 12 spot bball
1. J taylor
2. Deebo
3/4 I have two picks back to back do you ever take both Kelce and La porta here or take 1 te and 1 wr or take 2 wr avaiable ones: Flowers, Cooper, Higgins, Pickens, Kirk and Rice

What would you do

if we take both Kelce and La porta are we in a big hole at WR siince will have to wait 22 picks before it comes back to us ?

Bully TE generally does not do well in practice or sims. It’s the lowest scoring position on average, and when you take a TE this early, you want to bet on him hitting your lineup every week. And most of the time, you’d rather a RB/WR hit your flex.

I think you should take at least one WR here, but if you don’t want to, Kelce/Mahomes would be a lot better than Kelce/LaPorta. And then likely need to take 2 WRs at 60/61, regardless.


by tarheels2222 P

Bully TE generally does not do well in practice or sims. It’s the lowest scoring position on average, and when you take a TE this early, you want to bet on him hitting your lineup every week. And most of the time, you’d rather a RB/WR hit your flex.

I think you should take at least one WR here, but if you don’t want to, Kelce/Mahomes would be a lot better than Kelce/LaPorta. And then likely need to take 2 WRs at 60/61, regardless.

Appreciate the advice thanks! I went with La Porta and now debating on wr between flowers rice or higgins

Do you happen to know what the top winnings bestball lines up were last on underdogs and draftkings?


by skillivey P

Do you happen to know what the top winnings bestball lines up were last on underdogs and draftkings?

This has a pretty good write up on a couple DK line ups in the high $ contests.
https://establishtherun.com/best-ball-ye...


Here are last two year's winning BBM lineups along with some other information that may or may not be useful.

Two things that stick out are

1. Go young, especially early on in a draft.
2. Go for players that finished reasonably well the previous year.


2023


2022



by skillivey P

Appreciate the advice thanks! I went with La Porta and now debating on wr between flowers rice or higgins

All three are solid picks and have their own pros and cons.

One other positive I forgot to mention with LaPorta is, assuming this is a playoff pod contest and not the marathon, w17 correlation with Deebo.


by tarheels2222 P

Now that the Puppy is live, you should definitely fire that instead of anymore SNGs.

For sure. I can still play the $3 beginner SnGs because I haven't hit 50 drafts yet. Fun to mess around when there aren't any sub $10 contests running

I fired my 3 max FLOCK entries last night and had to pick from the 1.08, 1.10 and 1.12. I hate all of my teams. After the draft I look at the other teams and go oooh I like that build, oh snap nice team etc and then look back at my team and go yeah no shot dumbass.

Gonna fire a bunch of puppies today. Maybe I can cobble a team together worthy of posting.


.5 PPR 12 team
QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/TE

Keep up to 3 players (player, price out of $300 auction budget):

hurts 10
raheem mostert 8
zamir white 8
mike evans 21

I'm leaning hurts, mostert & evans.


by bahbahmickey P

.5 PPR 12 team
QB/2RB/2WR/2 flex/TE

Keep up to 3 players (player, price out of $300 auction budget):

hurts 10
raheem mostert 8
zamir white 8
mike evans 21

I'm leaning hurts, mostert & evans.

I think it’s Hurts + Evans for sure

Are there any other higher cost players as options?

Both White and Mostert are probably fine, but not the most exciting keeper. In theory both are “value” but in reality I feel like the players in that range normally go for way under their projected price, so prefer to not keep them as they are pretty easy to get for a bargain anyway


by jimmymcgill8 P

I think it’s Hurts + Evans for sure

Are there any other higher cost players as options?

Both White and Mostert are probably fine, but not the most exciting keeper. In theory both are “value” but in reality I feel like the players in that range normally go for way under their projected price, so prefer to not keep them as they are pretty easy to get for a bargain anyway

kyler murray 8
brock purdy 8

James Conner 40
najee harris 59
Jerome Ford 8

hollywood brown 14

mark andrews 44

Both QBs seem attractive but I don't think I want to keep 2 QBs in a 1 QB. Despite passing TDs being 6 pts QBs 7-14 tend to go between $15-$4.
RBs in the 20-25 range (where i think zamir & raheem are) tend do go for around $38.


Oof kinda gross. I think I’d keep mostert then

Hollywood is tempting but you can almost for sure get him for about that price or less and he’s not that exciting anyway


I caved and drafted a puppy, I’ll probably draft like 10

I didn’t mean to draft Gus + Dobbins, but I think it’s probably fine. Wanted 3 QBs but couldn’t get Geno so was too hard to correlate

Qb - Jayden, Tlaw

Rb - Achane, Brown, Gus, Dobbins, Pierce, Bigsby

Wr - Hill, D Smith, Rice, Btjr, JSN, Mooney, McMillan, LMC

Te - Andrews, Fant


Really really happy with this one

Qb - Tlaw, Herbert, Geno

Rb - CMC, Swift, Singletary, Charb, Dobbins

Wr - Olave, Kupp, Kirk, JSN, Ladd, Addison, QJ, Osborn

Te - McBride, Juwan


3 spots left in a $300 league if anyone wants in.


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