2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

2024 US Presidential Election Betting Thread

Ladies and gentleman, that time of the year is almost upon us. Republican debates start next month and I am looking forward to seeing all my friends again. It almost feels like school is back in session.

Some interesting candidates this year and wondering if Domahhhh is going to risk his entire net worth on a coinflip of a single election (getting -180 of course).

We didn't think it could get any worse but here we are. I wish the BOL to all competitors in this arena.

13 July 2023 at 09:09 AM
Reply...

630 Replies

i
a

by steamraise P


Mark Robinson referred to
himself as a “black NAZI!” and expressed support for reinstating slavery...


by Johnny_B P

Wonder if Mark Robinson just flipped NC blue.


The Orange colored nyc conman will not lose a vote, and Mark Robinson probably gained a few votes.


by Johnny_B P

Wonder if Mark Robinson just flipped NC blue. Be interesting to see the polls there is a week or so.

It’s not every election cycle that I purchase 20k NC ballots but I have this year. Expect no change in November of the Tar Heel state for Trump.


“Trump’s foreign policy sought to do much of what Putin wants to achieve, including intimidating Ukraine by withholding vital defensive weapons.”

Quite right. Putin wanted to undermine the NATO alliance, and Trump undermined the NATO alliance. Putin wanted to weaken the E.U., and Trump made little effort to express his disdain for the E.U. Putin wanted to weaken the U.S. political system, and Trump was unnervingly aggressive in trying to weaken the U.S. political system.

Putin wanted to hurt Ukraine, and Trump launched an extortion scheme that threatened to hurt Ukraine.

Why didn’t the Russian leader deploy troops into Ukraine during Trump’s term? Perhaps because Putin was so pleased with an American president who pursued goals in line with Moscow’s agenda.

Had Putin launched an invasion, it risked upsetting the course he was already delighted to see. Why would the Russian leader get in the way of the progress Trump was already delivering?"


Why didn't Trump get Paul Whelan out? He was abducted during Trump's tenure.


by morel hunter P

“Trump’s foreign policy sought to do much of what Putin wants to achieve, including intimidating Ukraine by withholding vital defensive weapons.”

Quite right. Putin wanted to undermine the NATO alliance, and Trump undermined the NATO alliance. Putin wanted to weaken the E.U., and Trump made little effort to express his disdain for the E.U. Putin wanted to weaken the U.S. political system, and Trump was unnervingly aggressiv

Well that certainly is one spin on the matter now I must say.


There are are some ridiculous takes in this thread

Robinson is toast in NC, it isn't just the black nazi stuff, he said he was pro slavery and was watching trans porn. While the right might view him as 'one of ours' on the issues they're not going to be super keen to vote for the 'n-word who watches tranny porn' even if he aligns with them politically

It may or may not swing the state, but might hurt Trump by a fraction of a percent

If Harris is winning NC though it's already over and Trump is toast, it won't be the state that tips it over the line to 270 unless somehow Trump wins MI or WI along with GA and AZ and NV yet specifically underpeforms in NC

If Trump wins PA AZ GA I guess it's enough if Harris wins WI MI NV and then NC can be the tipping point. I find it hard to believe Trump wins PA and loses NC though even with the black nazi who likes trans porn and is pro slavery on the Republican ticket for governor

On that note if anyone wants Robinson to win NC-Gov would happily take Stein for NC Gov

Would also happily take Trump outperforms Robinson in NC if anyone legitimately thinks Robinson's scandals help him like iwasbanned's post implies.

Am open to props on Harris sweeping the swing states too if anyone wants to offer me +500 or similar on Harris to win all of MI WI PA NC NV AZ GA and the Presidency. Obviously this is somewhat correlated but also requires her to win multiple states where she's currently trailing.

Fairly likely i'll start betting on Harris soon, but don't see any reason to get involved yet even though I make her closer to -150 than -111, would rather take -150 when she's -300 fair price a week out or whatever will be available then to have more complete info and fade the bet when it goes bad


by SwoopAE P

There are are some ridiculous takes in this thread

Robinson is toast in NC, it isn't just the black nazi stuff, he said he was pro slavery and was watching trans porn. While the right might view him as 'one of ours' on the issues they're not going to be super keen to vote for the 'n-word who watches tranny porn' even if he aligns with them politically

It may or may not swing the state, but might hurt Trump by a fraction of a percent

If Harris

Your views of conservatives is something else I must say, but certainly not modern reality of the modern day person you'll meet on the street.

Trump has a razor thin margin of error. He can win everything he needs to for the swing states in his favor, but still needs PA or it's toast. Kammie-La pulling off a single one of them, and any swing state not going her way equals election over and potentially WW3 at the rate we're going under her and Biden.


Reply...