2024 ELECTION THREAD

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...

this is the article. I think the headline leaves some important details out.

also contrary to Musk's tweet, I dont think they can vote. lol.

I'll have to look into that program for some Colombians and Venezuelans I know. Getting a visa for the US isn't easy for them.

the conspiracy theory is that illegal immigrants are voting en masse and that's the reason that Biden is allegedly weak on the border. that's nonsense fodder for idiots like Elon..

i'm assuming the actual story is just that the US brought valid LEGAL asylum seekers out of danger areas to the US while they are going through the LEGAL process of asylum. and the "vulnerabilities" aren't from the asylum seekers, but telling the governments of those countries where all the individuals seeking asylum were being flown out from..

this may surprise you, but most immigrants who came in legally through the system are heavily anti illegal immigration - they are the immigrants who vote

I thought all the voter fraud people had been dunked on so hard about their crazy claims that they wouldn't be dumbe enough to come back with "caravnas of illegals are voting demONcratz!1!" but i guess i was giving them too much credit.

i'm sure they aren't a monolith. feel free to post that data. here's some that would lean towards saying the opposite.

https://www.kff.org/racial-equity-and-he...

regardless, almost nothing is more american than attempting to pull up the ladder you used to climb to where you are so that others cant..

slighted, i specifically said legal immigrants

you countered that with "all immigrants"

if you don't see why your data is garbage as a response then i can't help you

if you looked at the methodology 90% of the participants are legal immigrants. 10% were "likely undocumented" because they didnt provide information. i still dont see any of your data to back up your claim, though..

You didn't look at his data, did you?

nowhere whatsoever do they say this

this was their methodology - cold calling immigrant neighborhoods and prepaid phones and asking if they were born outside the USA - yeah the foreign engineers at google and foreign nurses and college professors are going to skew highly towards prepaid cell phones and living in immigrant regions...

i really don't understand why you'd lie about that

they did not verify anything they simply asked people what their status was - so it was all self volunteered, so you're illegal in a foreign country, a stranger calls you up on the phone offering $10 if you answer their questions, and asks you if you are breaking the law, how many are going to say "why yes I am here illegally total stranger who could be part of a government operation"

Immigration Status
Naturalized citizen 2,134 ± 3 percentage points
Green card or valid visa holder 819 ± 5 percentage points
Likely undocumented 372 ± 6 percentage points

there's literally a chart.. easy to read and everything.

what is polling if it's not just asking people things? lol.

i mean if we want to say all polls are just people potentially lying about their status, beliefs, votes, history, then fine. that invalidates all surveys and polls ever taken. but what are we even doing here then?

this has been addressed as that is self reported and the overwhelming majority of people contacted by randomly dialing prepaid cell phones are not going to be white collar legal immigrants

this is like polling all of america to ask them if they have ever raped someone, we're going to get all this data which shows america is rapist free

you can tell you lost the argument but are too stubborn to admit it when you try using strawmen to then invalidate all polls

this is why you suck at posting, there is no give or take or discussion, you started with a belief and no amount of data refuting it is ever going to get you to alter your stance - you care about nothign but confirmation bias - you're no different from those fox news and qanon people you hate

I think we should deport those that recently came over illegally and increase legal immigration because just saying "aw shucks, all these people broke our laws but since they are all here we should just let it slide this time and let them stay" only tells everyone who hasn't snuck over the border that they can sneak over and we will let them stay too. We should have a process in place where at least some % of the legal immigrants are chosen based off of occupation and other important factors... like every other major importer of people in the world does.

As you know I want to kick some of these people out so we can be picky and legally bring in people with desirable jobs/skills. I think it is terrible that you assume brown people aren't smart/skilled enough to be desirable for our legal immigration process.

I don't have any knowledge or opinion of legal immigrants' opinion on illegal immigration, so I don't know who's right here. But I really don't get what's going on in this and a couple of your previous posts. "no amount of data refuting it is ever going to get you to alter your stance" - did I miss some data? The only data I've seen so far was posted by him, which you said was garbage and then you accused him of lying because he used the study's own data about the percent of legal vs. illegal immigrants who responded. I also wonder how accurate that self-reported data is, so I'd want to see more studies before I was convinced he was right, but I never would have considered him to be lying, and it seems weird to suggest someone won't believe data refuting his stance when you haven't provided any - or did I miss something?

Why would you ask for additional data if you're going to disregard all data? Are you simple?

this is what polling and surveying is.. you ask people things, and they give you answers. all polling and surveys are self reported. that's what they mean.

idk where "white collar legal immigrants" came from. you started with:

i gave you some polling that read differently than that.

if the argument is polling in general is flawed because people can lie, i'm not even against that argument in general. but then there is no possible way to support any claims about any groups opinions so why are we even on a politics message board in the first place.

I generally think you're a pretty decent poster but this exchange is beyond awful. It's your statement of belief that started this back and forth, specifically "most immigrants who came in legally through the system are heavily anti illegal immigration".

In fact the only person who could reasonably be described by your second paragraph here is you, since you're the person whose belief is actually being disputed by the only data that has been presented and instead of providing anything of substance to defend your belief you've instead dug your heels in, rubbished the data, and insulted Slighted.

I think it was the case in 2016 that after Trump's "build the wall" rhetoric he picked up Latino support. Whether the same applies to non-latino immigrants idk.

Right, this is the impression I got, but wondered if I missed something as it seemed a bit out of character.

bobo,if you and I are discussing the amount of time required to make a sandwich and you say you can make one in just a few minutes and i respond with this data point

would you continue the discussion with me or recognize me as a clown that is beyond hope?

serious question

i don't have access to it off hand but i've done professional research on this in the aughts - we ultimately did not publish because up top thought it would be a very divisive article

i highly doubt that has dramatically changed since then and it's an absolute minefield to find data that supports it because 99.9% of discussion using those keywords will not broach the subject and i'm not going to spend hours sifting through hundreds of academic papers looking for what i already know just to share with some ignoramus who will think it's a bad study anyway because his mind is already made up on the matter

as you can see, everything points to other subjects

what i can absolutely guarantee is that neither will anyone be able to find any solid evidence refuting that position either - hence why he is leaning so heavily on a garbage in, garbage out study because he can't find a legit one which supports his belief

but in all reality, go and do an informal poll among the legal immigrants you know and ask them if they are pro or con illegal immigration, i think their answers would surprise you

there's a lot of latent disapointment/anger towards those who were able to skip all the months of bureacracy that they went through via a shortcut - even though objectively speaking, the life of a legal immigrant is 10x better than an illegal living in the margins of society

they mostly think it's unfair and the very presence of all those illegals is why it the process was so unnecessarily difficult for them - which is not wrong

ding ding ding