2024 ELECTION THREAD

I definitely think Biden has a better chance in Arizona than he does in Georgia. Put another way, I think Biden winning Arizona and losing Georgia is quite a bit more likely than him winning Georgia and losing Arizona. Biden benefitted from a perfect storm in Georgia in the 2020 election.

This is if people voted today. I would (and probably will) bet money joe biden will win the election.
Actual polls show him losing support among hispanics.

https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/20...

while i still think he will get over 50% of the hispanic vote at the margins and turn out wise i think he is in a bit of trouble.

biden s easiest route to victory is assuredly the states I have him winning plus michigan. I think you’ll see a lot of focus on “michigan voters” soon.

Agreed

This is definitely correct. If Biden wins the election, I think that he very likely has won Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

Biden is slowly losing support among Hispanics but slowly gaining support among generic independents basically because Michigan consumer index is recovering fast at last and inflation is subdued compared to the past.

A lot will depend on how the economy and inflation in particular perform during the summer (this, if it ends up being Biden v Trump, which is probable but not a guarantee yet)

Whoa now with that EC map guess. I just went to 270towin to get the latest map. Look at all the gray toss up states. I feel they are sure toss ups, but Biden won them ALL in 2020. Not some of the gray, Biden won them ALL.

by ladybruin P

Whoa now with that EC map guess. I just went to 270towin to get the latest map. Look at all the gray toss up states. I feel they are sure toss ups, but Biden won them ALL in 2020. Not some of the gray, Biden won them ALL.

I’m really glad he won them all ladybruin. Hopefully he wins north carolina and Texas this time too.

let me ask you a question:

This is a list of the latest public polling in the state of nevada. Do you think this data is not in anyway relevant to predicting who would win Nevada if the election were held today?

Do you think me saying Trump is currently ahead in polling in swing states indicates I support Trump for president?

If it came out differently, I owe you a beer, but I was making no judgement other than to say the current predicted 2024 EC map on 270toWin is essentially the actual 2020 map with six states that Biden won un-check and being toss ups. Okay maybe a bit of a judgement to say that Trump needs a big swing to turn that into a win. As for Nevada, when I lived in Vegas years ago, people there prided themselves on being libertarians, but not in the same way it is used in other states. Understanding Nevada is back-ass-ward.

I probably posted more maps than anyone 4 years ago including some tie scenarios. So please continue posting EC maps and PM me for the beer gift card.

No no you’re good, I just wanted to understand. Pollling is very good in general. Joe Biden approval numbers and age are not fatal to his run but definitely challenges.

thanks for the free beer offer 😀

Trump’s previously referred to the United States as an “evil” country,
accused the U.S. of being filled with “crooked” politicians and home to a corrupt
judicial system, and that the United States is a “failing nation” and a “nation in decline.”

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show...

He is not wrong on a few of the points

Just imagined a video clip of KJP saying exactly this in her condescending & deceitful manner

Lifelong Republican drops bomb on Trump on Fox News.

It's wonder Fox News didn't experience "Technical Difficulties" while that guy was dropping those truth bombs.

Bob Costas drops bomb on Joe Biden

Its a wonder MSNBC did not experience Technical Difficulties OH wait MSNBC would never air this

I don't think I am the only one who doesn't want to watch your alls' uTubez. Post some cliff notes instead of cliff hangers.

Steamraise video Trump Bad

Lozen video Biden Bad

Lets quote Costas

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/nrscOEE9i...

100,000 plus vote for uncommitted. The organizers were hoping for 10,000
Democrats not going to like that

Probably an overstatement, but there is never any better than a 1 in 100 chance that I will click on a video shared by steamraise or lozen. What's the point?

I doubt those two are actually editing or producing the videos they post.

I get it but I trust Breaking Points and Bill Maher over MSNBC .

Watching Morning Joe this morning and they of course had technical difficulties and could not show you the uncommitted vote.

Funny thing is Steamraise used to be a conservative and I used to be a liberal .
Trump did Steamraise in Trudeau did me in

Biden beat uncommitted by more than Trump beat Haley. Is this really a problem for Democrats?

Where did I claim they were?

100,000 protest votes in MI does seem like a problem.